Bank of Canada Chief: Slow Global Growth, Low Rates Set to Be the Norm -- Update
December 12 2019 - 1:53PM
Dow Jones News
By Paul Vieira
OTTAWA -- Tepid global growth and historically low interest
rates are going to be the norm for the foreseeable future, Bank of
Canada Gov. Stephen Poloz said Thursday.
Mr. Poloz said near-term global economic risks are tilted to the
downside, according to prepared remarks for a speech in Toronto. He
said trade conflicts and the emergence of populist governments in
the developed world "threaten to reverse some of the prior
productivity gains made through globalization."
Tariffs on imported goods are forcing companies create new
supply chains that aren't as efficient, he said.
His remarks, which focused on a big-picture outlook for the
global economy and the central bank's agenda in 2020, largely
avoided commentary on Canada's short-term economic outlook.
Last week, the Bank of Canada kept its main interest rate
unchanged at 1.75%, and a bank's senior official said the economy's
resilience allowed it to chart its own course while other central
banks have cut rates.
Mr. Poloz said uncertainty over future trade policies and
institutions such as the World Trade Organization "is having a more
insidious effect" because companies are scaling back capital
expenditures.
"On balance, then, it looks like the global economy is set for
continued slow economic growth for mostly structural reasons," he
said. "For these same reasons, this means low interest rates are
likely to persist too." He said this shouldn't be interpreted as a
prediction about the Bank of Canada's policy rate.
Mr. Poloz's comments came as Canada, the U.S. and Mexico agreed
on a freshly revised version of a North American trade deal, now
known as the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, or USMCA. Some of
Canada's opposition parties have criticized the latest version of
the pact, mostly because of potential negative impacts for the
country's aluminum sector. The governing Liberals hold a minority
of seats in the legislature, so it will require support from
another party to get USMCA ratified.
Earlier Thursday, President Trump said in a tweet that the U.S.
and China were close on a deal on trade. "They want it and so do
we," he wrote.
Mr. Poloz said last week he wouldn't seek a second term as
governor of the central bank. He is set to leave his current post
on June 2.
Write to Paul Vieira at paul.vieira@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 12, 2019 13:38 ET (18:38 GMT)
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