Fed Officials Weighed Money-Market Control Strategies at October Meeting -- Update
November 20 2019 - 4:13PM
Dow Jones News
By Michael S. Derby
WASHINGTON -- Federal Reserve officials at their October policy
meeting weighed but didn't settle on strategies that could provide
a more enduring fix to the money-market interest-rate volatility
that flared in September.
Minutes from the Oct. 29-30 meeting showed central bankers split
on whether they should commit to continuing to add liquidity on a
temporary basis via repurchase agreements, or repos, or whether
they needed to adopt a bolder solution to ensure short-term rate
markets remain calm.
The Fed already has committed to actions to calm markets through
year-end. But the minutes showed officials looking ahead to other
potential times of stress for money markets, like the April 2020
tax payment date.
Fed officials are trying to ensure that short-term rate
volatility doesn't return. Just ahead of their September policy
meeting, key short-term rates jumped, with the Fed's benchmark
federal-funds rate rising above its target. That led the central
bank to intervene with its first large-scale temporary market
interventions in just over a decade, as it sought to ensure banks
had enough liquidity to eliminate volatility.
Fed repo operations take in Treasury, agency and mortgage bonds
from eligible banks in exchange for a de facto collateralized loan
of cash to the banks. Repos have been a standard part of the Fed's
tool kit for decades, but they had been out of use as the central
bank navigated the financial crisis and its aftermath.
In early October, the Fed also said it would start expanding its
balance sheet again via around $60 billion a month in Treasury bill
purchases, hoping the addition of permanent liquidity would allow
it to back away from large temporary interventions.
So far, the Fed's operations have kept short-term rates calm and
the central bank's benchmark rate where officials want it to be.
Fed officials hope to wind down the large repos in early January
and are looking at a slowdown in the balance-sheet expansion by the
middle of next year.
The minutes show that Fed staff presented central bankers with
two approaches to manage short-term rates over the longer run.
The first entails the Fed pressing forward with modest-sized and
regular temporary market interventions to add reserves to the
financial system. The other would see the Fed adopt what many call
a standing repo facility that "could serve as an automatic money
market stabilizer."
Fed staff told officials more temporary operations would offer
less precise control over short-term rates, but would come without
other risks. Meanwhile, a new facility aimed at stabilizing rates
would "likely provide substantial assurance of control over the
federal funds rate, but use of the facility could become
stigmatized, particularly if the rate was set at a relatively high
level."
Fed officials have indicated the central bank's debate over the
standing repo facility is moving slowly. St. Louis Fed leader James
Bullard has urged its adoption, but others are less certain.
Atlanta Fed leader Raphael Bostic in early November said if the Fed
sets up a standing repo facility, he wants to see it used: "I
really do want to make sure that we are thoughtful to make sure
that the things that we put in the tool kit are things that will
actually be used in bad times and in good times."
Fed officials said in the minutes keeping enough reserves in the
financial system to achieve control over short-term rates is
important. But some noted they could tolerate some variance in the
central bank's target-rate range in times of expected market
stress, as can happen around tax dates and Treasury debt auction
settlements.
"Participants made no decisions at this meeting on the
longer-run role of repo operations in the ample-reserves regime or
on an approach for conducting repo operations over the longer
term," the minutes said.
Officials "generally agreed that they should continue to monitor
the market effects of the Federal Reserve's ongoing repo operations
and Treasury bill purchases" as they seek a more enduring solution
for keeping rates near desired levels.
The minutes also noted that in a videoconference on Oct. 4, all
officials offered support for the Fed to expand its balance sheet
via Treasury purchases. There was also unanimous support for
committing to repo operations into January.
Write to Michael S. Derby at michael.derby@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
November 20, 2019 15:58 ET (20:58 GMT)
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