Stocks Climb on U.S.-China Trade Deal Hopes
November 15 2019 - 10:40AM
Dow Jones News
By Paul J. Davies and Gunjan Banerji
The S&P 500 is on track for a sixth consecutive week of
gains, capping off one of the calmest stretches in the stock market
in months.
Investors drove the broad stock market index up 0.3% shortly
after the opening bell Friday as they cheered good news on trade
talks and the economy. The index is poised for a 0.4% gain for the
week.
White House economic adviser Lawrence Kudlow indicated progress
toward a potential trade deal with China this week, while Federal
Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell expressed optimism over the economy.
A better-than-expected corporate earnings season has also helped
fend off fears of a recession.
Assuming the gains hold through Friday's close, the S&P
500's winning streak would be its longest since November 2017 when
the index rose for eight consecutive weeks. However, it comes in
the midst of lull -- the index hasn't moved up or down more than
0.5% for nine consecutive trading days through Thursday, the
longest streak since October 2018, according to Dow Jones Market
Data.
"I think the uncertainty is still elevated," said Justin
Onuekwusi, head of retail multiasset funds at Legal & General
Investment Management. "Just because you see an improvement doesn't
mean it's gone away," he said.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 91 points, or 0.3%. The
Nasdaq Composite added 0.4%. Those indexes are also poised for
slight weekly gains.
Fresh data early Friday showed U.S. retail sales rebounded in
October, rising 0.3% and beating the estimates of economists
surveyed by The Wall Street Journal expected.
The latest retail sales figures, along with some strong
corporate earnings reports, have bolstered confidence in the U.S.
consumer, a key engine of domestic growth. Walmart on Thursday
reported another increase in sales, extending its winning streak to
five years.
"Ever so slowly...you get increasing confirmation that this
slowdown has stabilized," said Joseph Amato, chief investment
officer at Neuberger Berman. "All these things have come together
to build a little bit more confidence in risk assets."
Shares of J.C. Penney rose 11% sharply after boosting its
financial outlook for this year and reporting better-than-expected
third-quarter results.
Investors have been encouraged by a rebound in government-bond
yields, particularly in the U.S., and the growing positive gap
between 10-year yields and two-year yields, which is a move away
from the recessionary signals of earlier this year.
U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose to 1.843% on Friday, according
to Tradeweb, from 1.815% on Thursday.
Still, the mixed signals of progress between the U.S. and China
have left investors in a lurch. Although the market sees a
resolution as more likely, global stock indexes have hardly budged
this week -- reflecting the continued concern for regression in
talks.
Elsewhere, the Nikkei 225 in Tokyo finished the day 0.7% higher,
although it was marginally down for the week, while in Europe the
Stoxx 600 was up 0.6% on the day.
In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index was flat Friday but ended the
week down 4.8%, its worst week since early August, after
antigovernment protests in the Chinese territory turned more
violent with some of the worst clashes in six months of unrest. The
Shanghai Composite Index ended the week down 2.5%.
There were conflicting signals for the oil markets: The
International Energy Agency raised its 2020 oil-production growth
forecast for producers outside the Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries. However, that came just hours after OPEC had
cut its forecast for oil production output for non-cartel countries
next year.
Caitlin Ostroff contributed to this article.
Write to Paul J. Davies at paul.davies@wsj.com and Gunjan
Banerji at Gunjan.Banerji@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
November 15, 2019 10:25 ET (15:25 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2019 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.