Brazil Central Bank Cuts Benchmark Rate to Record Low
September 18 2019 - 6:12PM
Dow Jones News
By Paulo Trevisani and Jeffrey T. Lewis
BRASÍLIA -- Brazil's central bank cut its benchmark interest
rate as expected Wednesday, as consumer price increases remain
under control amid a yearslong economic slowdown that has defied
government efforts to boost growth.
The bank cut the benchmark Selic rate to a of 5.5% from 6%, with
at least one more trim expected to come this year. Economists
surveyed weekly by the central bank see the Selic at 5% at year's
end.
"The consolidation of the benign scenario for prospective
inflation should permit additional adjustment of the degree of
stimulus," the bank said in the statement announcing the rate
cut.
The central bank's survey predicts inflation will end the year
at 3.45%, well below the bank's target of 4.25%. The economists
also forecast meager 0.87% gross-domestic-product growth, a pace
unlikely to significantly reduce the country's 11.8% jobless
rate.
The rate-cutting cycle started in July will take time to show
any effect on the real economy, said Western Asset's chief
economist in Brazil, Adauto Lima. He said consumers remain
cautious, and unused production capacity means businesses have
little reason to invest.
"The economy is improving, but very slowly," he said. "There is
too much slack, and demand is weak."
That slow growth has prevented business from passing the cost of
the recent depreciation of the real against the dollar on to
consumers, Mr. Lima added. The real is trading at about 4.10 to the
dollar, after reaching 3.74 in July.
Write to Paulo Trevisani at paulo.trevisani@wsj.com and Jeffrey
T. Lewis at jeffrey.lewis@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 18, 2019 17:57 ET (21:57 GMT)
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