BOND REPORT: Treasury Yields Climb To One-week Peak As U.S.-China Trade Talks Set To Resume
July 23 2019 - 3:53PM
Dow Jones News
By Sunny Oh
Treasury prices fell Tuesday, pushing yields higher, after
reports that U.S. negotiators will visit China next week to restart
trade talks gave a lift to stocks and weighed on demand for haven
assets.
What are Treasurys doing?
The 10-year Treasury note yield rose 3.1 basis points to 2.074%,
while the 2-year note rate was up 2.1 basis points to 1.835%. The
30-year bond yield picked up 3.7 basis points to 2.607%. Debt
prices move in the opposite direction of yields.
The yield move pushed debt rates to the highest level since July
23, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
What's driving Treasurys?
Reports that U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and a
broader delegation will visit China next week to renew trade
negotiations helped to buoy optimism that both sides were on their
way to a resolution of their longstanding trade spat. Chief
Economic Adviser to the White House Larry Kudlow said he expected
China to start purchasing more U.S. agricultural goods as an act of
goodwill.
The White House also reached a two-year agreement with
Congressional Democrats to increase federal spending and increase
the government's debt ceiling. The deal still needs to be voted on
by the House and the Senate, and then signed by President
Trump.
The S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average traded
higher, driving down demand for fixed-income alternatives.
In Europe, Boris Johnson, counted in the pro-Brexit camp, was
elected to become the U.K.'s next prime minister, with Theresa May
set to resign this week. He beat out Jeremy Hunt in the contest to
become the next head of the ruling Conservative Party. Investors
say Johnson's election increases the likelihood of a no-deal Brexit
that has seen disrupting trade pacts and potentially complicating
financial transactions.
In economic data, existing home sales for June ran at 5.27
million, from an annualized pace of 5.34 million in the previous
month. The Richmond Fed's manufacturing survey for July came in at
a reading of -12 points from 2 points in June.
A $40 billion auction for 2-year Treasury notes struggled to
draw investor interest. Treasurys trading can be influenced by
influxes of debt supply.
What did market participants' say?
"Several headlines and the accompanying reaction in Treasuries
served as a reminder that despite the pre-FOMC doldrums, the
uncertainties facing the global economy persist," said Ian Lyngen,
head of U.S. rates strategy for BMO Capital Markets.
"The late day selloff on constructive headlines [on trade talks]
is more a testament to the summer trading environment than any
material breakthrough in the Beijing/DC saga," said Lyngen.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
July 23, 2019 15:38 ET (19:38 GMT)
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