Oil Edges Higher on OPEC Cuts, Iran Tensions
May 20 2019 - 3:29PM
Dow Jones News
By Dan Molinski
-- U.S. oil prices rose to their highest level in nearly three
weeks Monday on continued U.S.-Iran tensions and as major crude
producers, including Saudi Arabia, signaled they may maintain
production cuts until the end of this year.
-- West Texas Intermediate futures, the U.S. oil benchmark,
ended 0.5% higher at $63.10 a barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange. It was the highest closing price since May 1 and the
fourth increase over the past five sessions.
-- Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, closed 0.3% lower at
$71.97 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
HIGHLIGHTS
Global Supplies: U.S. oil prices rose last week, snapping a
streak of three consecutive weekly decreases, as heightened
tensions between Iran and the U.S. and its allies sparked fears of
supply disruptions in the oil-rich Middle East. On Monday, the
market notched further gains after the Organization of the
Petroleum Exporting Countries inched closer to extending
crude-production cuts until the end of the year to limit
supplies.
OPEC members and some non-OPEC oil producers including Russia
met over the weekend in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia as a precursor to next
month's summit in Vienna. The delegates suggested production quotas
agreed to in December when U.S. oil prices were in the $40s per
barrel may have to continue until the end of 2019 due to a
continued fear of an oil glut. The group agreed last December to
cut output by a collective 1.2 million barrels a day.
"We started [the week] off strong in the oil market as OPEC
signaled it would keep production cuts in place until the end of
the year and the odds of a conflict between the U.S. and Iran seem
to be rising," said Phil Flynn, senior market analyst at Price
Futures in Chicago.
U.S.-China: Despite the mostly bullish sentiment emanating from
OPEC, oil prices continued to be held back by worries that global
demand for oil could take a hit if negotiations between the U.S.
and China continue to drag on without a final trade deal,
especially since each side continues to ratchet up tariffs.
Patrick DeHaan, head of petroleum analysis at gasoline
price-tracking firm GasBuddy, said the trade dispute could provide
further relief at the pump for the U.S. driving public, where the
average price for a gallon of regular gasoline fell last week by 2
cents, to $2.84.
"With a trade deal with China seemingly more and more unlikely,
we may continue to see weakness in oil and gasoline prices," said
Mr. DeHaan. "We continue to believe that additional slow relief
will trickle to pumps in the next week as more refiners get back
into the game and boost production."
INSIGHT
Venezuela Fuel: The economic, social and political crisis
continued in oil-rich Venezuela, and Nicholas Watson at advisory
firm Teneo said Venezuelans are likely to continue to face
miles-long waits to fill up their vehicles with gasoline. "Fuel
shortages are likely to continue this week amid the continuing
collapse of the refining network and as sanctions add to the
problems experienced by the oil sector," Mr. Watson said in a
research note. "Large lines at gas stations have been reported in
several states, with National Guard (GNB) units deployed to
maintain order in some areas. The regime will continue to wholly
blame sanctions for the situation."
AHEAD
-- The Energy Information Administration is due to release its
weekly report on U.S. oil inventories on Wednesday morning.
Write to Dan Molinski at Dan.Molinski@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
May 20, 2019 15:14 ET (19:14 GMT)
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