Fed's Harker: Monetary Policy Can't Be Run on Rules Alone
May 20 2019 - 10:04AM
Dow Jones News
By Michael S. Derby
Philadelphia Fed leader Patrick Harker said human judgment is
critical in making monetary policy, in comments that pushed back on
the setting of interest-rate policy by rules alone.
"Rules are important, and inform a lot of our decisions," Mr.
Harker said in the text of a speech to be delivered Monday in
Boston. But, "they shouldn't be followed robotically."
In the real world, "monetary policy isn't that precise" and no
set of rules can capture all of the factors central bankers must
contend with. "Despite some of the smartest thinkers and the best
models, we can't assign a degree of certainty to any of the
variables," he said.
"One of the reasons monetary policy can't just be mechanized is
that decisions have to be informed by human experience and past
behavior -- as in any discipline, models may work in theory, but
not necessarily under the messy complication of real-life
conditions," Mr. Harker said.
The policy maker didn't comment on interest-rate policy or the
economic outlook in his speech.
Write to Michael S. Derby at michael.derby@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
May 20, 2019 09:49 ET (13:49 GMT)
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