Oil Edges Higher on Declining U.S. Inventories
April 18 2019 - 10:35AM
Dow Jones News
By Dan Molinski
-- Oil prices were moderately higher Thursday on expectations
U.S. crude oil inventories could decline further as the
summer-driving season approaches and refineries start boosting both
their intake and output.
-- West Texas Intermediate futures, the U.S. oil benchmark, was
0.3% higher at $63.92 a barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange.
-- Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, was up 0.4% at $71.87
a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
HIGHLIGHTS
U.S. Supplies: Prices were higher Thursday morning as markets
reacted in delayed fashion to Wednesday's weekly report from the
Energy Information Administration that showed U.S. oil inventories
fell by 1.4 million barrels last week, which marked the first
decline in four weeks.
The reduction in crude inventories was largely a result of a
drop in crude-oil imports rather than U.S. refineries processing
more oil, as the data showed U.S. refineries are operating at less
than 88% of their potential, versus typical capacity utilization
rates of well over 90% for this time of year. But that could
change.
"Refinery utilization remains relatively low at 87.7% with
turnaround season underway, exacerbated by a series of ongoing
unplanned outages," said analysts at Houston-based Tudor Pickering
Holt & Co. in a research note. "We expect utilization to trend
higher as we shift into May as driving season picks up."
Tight Range: Despite oil's modest gains Thursday, U.S. prices
over the past week have mostly been rangebound, and are yet to
surpass a five-month closing high of $64.61 a barrel reached April
10. That is leading some to question whether the price rally -- WTI
is 6% higher this month and 40% higher this year -- may be stalling
out.
"WTI remains trapped in a comparatively tight trading range of
less than $2-a-barrel that extends back to the beginning of last
week," said Jim Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch &
Associates, in a note to clients. "Significant guidance from the
geopolitical factor has generally been lacking and support off of
the macroeconomic element has been only modestly supportive."
Mr. Ritterbusch added that although his firm viewed Wednesday's
EIA guidance as bullish on balance, the market's response to the
data has thus far been muted. "As a result, we are maintaining a
view that WTI will need to see some fresh highs within the next 2-3
sessions if this year's bull move is to prove sustainable."
INSIGHT
Schlumberger: Oil-field services giant Schlumberger on Thursday
reported a 20% fall in net income but better-than-expected revenue
for the first quarter, and the company's chief executive, Paal
Kibsgaard, predicted oil prices will continue to rise this year due
to increased global demand and slowing production growth in certain
regions.
"From a macro perspective, we expect the oil market sentiments
to steadily improve over the course of 2019, supported by a solid
demand outlook combined with the OPEC and Russia production cuts
taking full effect, slowing shale oil production growth in North
America, and a further weakening of the international production
base as the impact of four years of underinvestment becomes
increasingly evident," Mr. Kibsgaard said.
AHEAD
-- Baker Hughes reports its weekly rig-count on U.S. drilling
activity Friday at 1 p.m. ET.
Write to Dan Molinski at Dan.Molinski@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
April 18, 2019 10:20 ET (14:20 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2019 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.