Strong Results From Walmart Push U.S. Stocks Higher
February 19 2019 - 1:48PM
Dow Jones News
By Avantika Chilkoti and Michael Wursthorn
Shares of retail giant Walmart pulled the Dow Jones Industrial
Average higher Tuesday, helping the blue-chip index extend its
recent rally.
Investors got a much-needed dose of retail optimism after
Walmart reported better-than-expected sales and profit in the
fourth quarter, fueled by strong grocery sales, online orders and
holiday purchases. Shares of Walmart led the Dow industrials
Tuesday and nudged higher shares of dozens of other consumer-staple
companies in the S&P 500.
The earnings served as further evidence that the U.S. economy
remains on solid footing and helped allay some of investors'
concerns that holiday shopping was significantly weaker than
expected . Data from the Commerce Department last week said
December sales saw their largest drop since 2009.
"Walmart was surprisingly good in terms of their holiday
results," said Thomas Wright, director of equities at JMP
Securities, adding that most of the earnings from the fourth
quarter were better than expected.
The Dow industrials added 33 points, or 0.1%, to 25915, after
rising for eight consecutive weeks. The S&P 500 rose 0.2%. The
Nasdaq was recently up 0.3%.
Consumer-staple stocks rose 0.8%, the most of any other S&P
500 sector, with shares of Walmart rising 3.7%
But while several money managers cheered Walmart's results, most
said they are more concerned with how the latest round of trade
negotiations between the U.S. and China plays out this week.
Signs of optimism around the trade talks have fueled the latest
leg of the stock market's recovery following last year's selloff.
President Trump and other officials last week described the latest
round of negotiations as productive, helping the Dow industrials
and the Nasdaq Composite clinch their eighth straight week of gains
-- their best winning streaks since 2009.
This week, negotiators are focused on narrowing the
still-substantial gap between the concessions China is willing to
offer and what the Trump administration will accept. With all three
major indexes up 10% or more this year, some investors say there's
a strong likelihood of a quick reversal if both sides fail to reach
a breakthrough that would avoid an escalation in tariffs on Chinese
imports slated for March 1.
"It feels to me the economic and political news has just got
worse," said Neil Dwane, global strategist at Allianz Global
Investors. "It is all the sentiment around trade that has helped
the market rally on the basis that everyone believes there won't be
an all-out trade war."
Market optimism has also been driven largely by the "dramatic"
U-turn in commentary from the U.S. Federal Reserve in recent months
toward less aggressive policy tightening, according to James Athey,
a senior investment manager at Aberdeen Asset Management. The
central bank's shift has come "without any real difference in the
economy relative to their forecasts," he said.
"It's not about trade policy, it's not about positive sentiment
per se," Mr. Athey said. "The reality is that equity markets have
been underwritten by the Fed's comments."
Minutes from the Federal Reserve's January meeting are expected
Wednesday. Investors will scrutinize them for details on the Fed's
views on growth and any further move away from a previous bias
toward tighter monetary policy.
Mr. Athey, like many investors, expects decision makers at the
central bank to maintain their dovish stance, whatever the outlook
for the U.S. economy.
"They are not data-dependant at all," Mr. Athey said. "It's a
forced pause driven by market conditions."
Write to Avantika Chilkoti at Avantika.Chilkoti@wsj.com and
Michael Wursthorn at Michael.Wursthorn@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
February 19, 2019 13:33 ET (18:33 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2019 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.