By David Hodari
Stocks opened higher Tuesday, following a sharp drop on Wall
Street at the start of the week amid rising anxieties about global
economic growth.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 198 points, or 0.9%, in
the opening minutes of trading, in a mild relief rally after both
it, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite all tumbled 2% on
Monday. The S&P and Nasdaq also opened higher.
In Europe, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 index was 0.1%
lower in late-morning trading, weighed down by a 1.2% fall in its
oil-and-gas sector as concerns over rising supply dragged oil
prices lower.
The fall in crude began late Monday and accelerated Tuesday,
with prices dropping to fresh 14-month lows. Brent crude oil, the
global benchmark, was down 2.6% to $58.07 a barrel and West Texas
Intermediate futures fell 2.9% to $48.45 a barrel. Analysts cited
the broader market selloff and persistent fears of growing
supply.
Stocks sold off more heavily in Asia, where Japan's Nikkei fell
1.8% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng traded 1.1% lower. Most other
indexes fell by slightly less.
"The selloff has continued to be orderly and when I see moves
like this, I think it's not aggressive sellers as much as it's a
lack of buyers," said JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD
Ameritrade.
U.S. stocks staged their latest sharp selloff Monday, with a
2.3% fall for the Russell 2000 index of small-capitalization stocks
putting it in bear market territory. The Dow's 2% drop, meanwhile,
was the index's fourth such drop so far this month. The last time
that index had more 2% daily selloffs in December was in 2008 when
it had five such days.
The latest criticism of the Federal Reserve from President Trump
-- ahead of the central bank's December policy meeting Wednesday --
added to investors' unease. Mr. Trump tweeted that it was
"incredible" that the Fed's board was considering raising interest
rates again.
While U.S. futures pointed to gentle gains Tuesday, the gloom
that has descended on markets in recent months is unlikely to
shift, some investors said.
"There's definitely a lot of concern out there," said Matthew
Turner, European economist at Macquarie. "We still think the data
point to trend growth but markets are forward-looking and if you
look at the history of equities prices, they tend to peak before
recessions start. They can, by themselves, push us towards
one."
Stubborn worries that global growth is slowing have echoed in
equities markets in recent months, with 53% of fund managers
surveyed in Bank of America Merrill Lynch's monthly report
expecting weakening global growth in 2019--the worst outlook since
October 2008.
Meanwhile, a lack of detail behind warmer trade rhetoric between
Washington and Beijing mean investors will begin 2019 on an
uncertain footing, with businesses currently stymied by a lack of
information.
The Federal Reserve's policy announcement may provide some
short-term clarity on the investing environment, but "tariffs are
the A, B and C story. When we have detail on interest rates and
tariffs, you can make decisions down from CEOs to investors," Mr.
Kinahan of TD Ameritrade said.
CME Group data gave a 71.5% probability to a Fed rate increase,
although accompanying remarks about future policy from Fed Chairman
Jerome Powell will be under scrutiny for clues about the path of
rates next year.
Mr. Powell has given mixed signals on Fed policy in recent
months, spooking investors in October by saying rates were "a long
way from neutral," referring to the point at which interest rates
are neither spurring nor slowing economic growth. He later
backtracked on those comments in November, saying rates were "just
below" neutral.
Dovish guidance from the Fed may have mixed implications for
markets, however.
"On the one hand, markets may see an
even-less-hawkish-than-expected hike as a relief, but if the Fed
acknowledges fears about growth it's not as straight forward," said
Geoffrey Yu, head of the London investment office at UBS Wealth
Management. "Right now, we're at a level where market pricing is
not consistent with underlying economic data."
The WSJ Dollar Index was last 0.2% lower, while the yield on
10-year U.S. Treasurys had last slipped to 2.833% from 2.857% late
Monday.
In commodities, oil market investors were awaiting American
Petroleum Institute inventory numbers, due Tuesday.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its
allies agreed to a production cut in Vienna on Dec. 7, but that
restriction isn't set to take effect until Jan. 1.
Gold was up 0.1% at $1,252.80 a troy ounce.
Write to David Hodari at David.Hodari@dowjones.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 18, 2018 09:46 ET (14:46 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2018 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.