Grain Futures Fall as Market Looks for Clarity in Crop Reports
December 10 2018 - 3:32PM
Dow Jones News
By Kirk Maltais
-- Wheat contracts for March delivery fell 1.1% to $5.25 1/4 a
bushel at the Chicago Board of Trade Friday.
-- January soybean contracts also fell 0.8% to $9.09 3/4 a
bushel.
-- Corn contracts for March delivery fell 0.4% to $3.84 a
bushel.
HIGHLIGHTS
Few Surprises Expected in WASDE Report: The U.S. grain market
doesn't believe the USDA's latest World Agricultural Supply and
Demand Estimate (WASDE) report will contain much information
solidifying a Chinese presence on the market after the U.S.-China
trade truce at the Group of 20 Summit, but is hopeful anyway that
the report will help to illuminate the situation. "With the U.S.
exports for soybeans, that's the number one thing to watch for if
you ask me," said Mike Zuzolo of Global Commodity Analytics &
Consulting, adding that any upward revision to those figures could
confirm a USDA expectation that Chinese buyers will be purchasing
U.S. soybeans.
Lack of China Clarity Pushes Prices Down: As per analyst
predictions this week, grain futures finished lower Monday after
closing up Friday, a reflection of disappointment in the market
that the Chinese nor U.S. figures provided any concrete information
regarding the 90-day trade truce. President Trump didn't address
the truce in tweets this weekend, instead focusing on other topics
-- particularly the ongoing Russian collusion investigation
lingering in his orbit.
INSIGHT
Swine Fever Proliferation Could Alter Soybean Numbers: The
spread of African swine fever among pigs in Asia and abroad could
prove to be a factor moving soybean demand estimates in Tuesday's
WASDE. "There is justification for reducing Chinese imports further
due to African swine fever, while making other adjustments to the
balance sheet to reflect things that we know (i.e. higher Brazil
exports, etc.)," said INTL FCStone chief commodities economist
Arlan Suderman.
U.S. Weather Forecast Mostly Dry This Week: The weather forecast
for U.S. grain-growing areas this week calls for dry weather for
most of the week, with rain showers to travel up areas east of the
Mississippi River this weekend. Wet weather has been attributed as
one reason that some growers have kept a small portion of their
crop in their fields this year, with them being too moist to
process.
AHEAD
-- USDA releases its World Agricultural Supply and Demand
Estimate (WASDE) report on Tuesday.
-- USDA releases its weekly export sales data on Thursday.
Write to Kirk Maltais at kirk.maltais@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 10, 2018 15:17 ET (20:17 GMT)
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