Oil Edges Down Following OPEC Production Cut Deal
December 10 2018 - 10:52AM
Dow Jones News
By Christopher Alessi and Amrith Ramkumar
-- Oil prices edged down Monday morning, paring some of their
Friday advance that followed an OPEC-led decision to again rein in
production.
-- Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, was trading down 1.6%
at $60.68 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
-- West Texas Intermediate futures, the U.S. oil gauge, were
down 2.2% at $51.47 a barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange.
HIGHLIGHTS
Volatile Trading: Following a rise in prices on Friday, the
crude market experienced a "bit of a correction" on Monday morning,
said Georgi Slavov, head of energy research at brokerage Marex
Spectron.
But "it's more just noise," he said, adding that prices should
continue to rally through the end of the year in the wake of a
Friday decision by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries and its production allies to cut output by a collective
1.2 million barrels a day starting in January.
Prices climbed more than 2% Friday after Saudi Arabia, the de
facto head of OPEC, and Russia, its main partner outside the
cartel, eked out an agreement to curb a burgeoning supply glut.
Lingering Demand Fears: Analysts say broad fears about slower
global growth and weakening demand are also keeping a lid on oil
prices as trade negotiations between the U.S. and China
continue.
Such anxiety has hurt other commodities and stocks in recent
weeks. The worries have also pushed some investors toward the
dollar, making oil and other assets denominated in the U.S.
currency more expensive for overseas buyers. The WSJ Dollar Index,
which tracks the dollar against a basket of 16 other currencies,
rose 0.2% Monday.
INSIGHT
OPEC+: After days of tense negotiations, the oil cartel agreed
at its official semi-annual meeting in Vienna last week to
collectively cut crude output by 800,00 barrels a day from an
October baseline, beginning Jan 1. The cartel's partner producers,
led by Russia, signed on to cuts of 400,000 barrels a day. The
group agreed to the reduction for six months, with an opportunity
to review the market situation in April.
"The group sent a strong signal committing to keep the oil
market in balance by taking into account supply and demand
concerns, while emphasizing that its decisions are not driven by a
political agenda," said Giovanni Staunovo, commodities analyst at
UBS Wealth Management. The deal provided exemptions for Iran,
Venezuela and Libya, given geopolitical and economic constraints on
their production.
Ehsan Khoman, head of research and strategy for the Middle East
at MUFG Bank, Ltd. noted that the "OPEC+ strategy for a further
iteration of production cuts is a strong signal to the market that
the group intends to continue supporting prices at the expense of
market share -- once again OPEC+ sees its role as an
interventionist one."
Some analysts expect prices to stay range bound moving forward
as investors weigh whether the OPEC supply cuts will be enough to
rein in a burgeoning glut amid record U.S. output.
AHEAD
-- The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, on
Tuesday releases weekly data on U.S. oil inventories, followed by
official U.S. government data Wednesday.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration releases its
Short-Term Energy Outlook report on Tuesday, and the Organization
of the Petroleum Exporting Countries releases its monthly oil
market report on Wednesday.
Write to Christopher Alessi at christopher.alessi@wsj.com and
Amrith Ramkumar at amrith.ramkumar@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 10, 2018 10:37 ET (15:37 GMT)
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