Oil Closes Higher as Traders Weigh OPEC Meeting
November 19 2018 - 4:06PM
Dow Jones News
By Sarah McFarlane and Stephanie Yang
-- Oil prices edged higher Monday, reversing earlier losses as traders
weighed whether the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and
Russia would cut production at their next meeting.
-- Light, sweet crude for December delivery rose 0.5% to $56.76 a barrel on
the New York Mercantile Exchange, after trading as low as $55.08 earlier
in the trading day.
-- Brent, the global benchmark, settled up 3 cents at $66.79 a barrel.
HIGHLIGHTS
U.S. drilling: The number of active oil-directed drilling rigs
in the U.S. rose by two, taking the total to 888, weekly data
published by Baker Hughes on Friday showed. Drilling activity is at
the highest level since March 2015, as the U.S. pumps record
amounts of crude.
OPEC: Analysts said OPEC will have to cut crude production to
support oil prices, after the U.S. allowed major buyers of Iranian
oil to keep buying after sanctions. The global oil cartel will meet
with its allies including Russia on Dec. 6 to discuss reducing
output. Expectations that Saudi Arabia will want to cut have kept
oil prices buoyed, but the prospect of a lesser deal has kept the
market from rallying. "As we head into year-end, there's a little
bit of concern that there's too much supply relative to demand,"
said Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at brokerage CMC Markets.
"What we're looking for is the Saudi's to put a floor under
prices...the question is will they be able to cut by a sufficient
amount to arrest the slide."
U.S. production: Meanwhile, U.S. production has outpaced that of
Saudi Arabia and Russia, adding supply to the market and leading to
an influx of stockpiles in the U.S. That could put more pressure on
OPEC to cut production, some analysts said, and weigh on the market
in the longer term. "We still expect a rise in the oil price in the
coming months, until an increase in U.S. crude-oil exports weighs
on prices in late 2019," said Harry Tchilinguirian of BNP Paribas
in a Monday report.
INSIGHT
Russia: While Saudi Arabia has signaled intentions to reduce its
supply in the global oil market, reports say that Russia is less
willing to cut back on production. Russia's crude output climbed to
a record 11.4 million barrels a day in September, according to Wood
Mackenzie. "As OPEC continues to consider the idea of additional
cuts in order to stop oil's recent slide, Russia has appeared less
supportive, potentially placing a greater burden on Saudi Arabia
for any coordinated action," analysts at Schneider Electric
said.
Selloff: Last week's selloff in oil markets, triggered by a
combination of more Iranian crude being available to the global
market than expected, revisions higher to U.S. output and a
slowdown in global demand, has reset the outlook for oil prices,
analysts said. "It takes a brave oil trader to expect next year's
prices average above that of 2018," said Tamas Varga, analyst at
brokerage PVM.
AHEAD
-- The American Petroleum Institute releases its weekly statistical bulletin
at 4.30 p.m. Tuesday.
Write to Sarah McFarlane at sarah.mcfarlane@wsj.com and
Stephanie Yang at stephanie.yang@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
November 19, 2018 15:51 ET (20:51 GMT)
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