U.S. Stocks Tick Higher as Inflation Fears Ease
November 14 2018 - 11:26AM
Dow Jones News
By Georgi Kantchev and Amrith Ramkumar
The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 edged higher
Wednesday after data showed consumer prices rose in October in line
with expectations, easing some anxiety about higher inflation
leading to a faster pace of interest-rate increases.
The Dow industrials climbed 45 points, or 0.2%, to 25332, while
the S&P 500 also added 0.2%. Both indexes tumbled Monday, then
erased early advances to close lower Tuesday. The tech-heavy Nasdaq
Composite was recently up 0.1% after rising about 1% shortly after
the opening bell.
Concerns that rising inflation would make the Federal Reserve
more aggressive in tightening financial conditions have contributed
to recent stock-market volatility, analysts say. Higher rates make
some investors more cautious about seeking greater returns in risk
assets such as stocks and lead to higher borrowing costs, crimping
corporate profits.
Although Wednesday's numbers showed consumer prices rose last
month at the fastest pace since the beginning of the year, the
increase was driven largely by gas prices. That is one reason some
analysts expect the recent slump in oil prices to lead to
moderating inflation moving forward, potentially keeping the Fed on
its gradual path of rate increases.
"If inflation stays relatively benign, and I think it will,
growth will slow, but there's no reason why growth should stall,"
said David Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset
Management
Still, some investors expect recent swings in financial markets
to continue, with oil prices recently plummeting into a bear market
and uncertainty about the U.S.-China trade relationship also
lingering.
Stocks had trimmed some of their sharp October declines last
week before falling Monday as investors monitored signs of slowing
global growth and peaking corporate earnings. Economic data in
Europe and China added to those concerns Wednesday, analysts
said.
Germany's economy shrank for the first time in 3 1/2 years in
the third quarter while overall eurozone annualized growth was 0.7%
over the quarter, its lowest rate since 2013.
In China, business activity was mixed in October, as retail
sales grew at the slowest pace in five months, while growth in
industrial output and investment accelerated.
The data came as investors watched for the latest moves in the
trade spat between U.S. and China. The countries have renewed talks
on trade ahead of a meeting between President Trump and President
Xi Jinping, set for the end of November at the Group of 20 nations
summit in Buenos Aires.
"There are a lot of issues out there: geopolitics, oil, trade
wars, Brexit, take your pick," said Eric Stein, co-director of
global income at Boston-based Eaton Vance. "It means more
volatility is in store for the foreseeable future."
Some analysts remain anxious that tariffs will also impact
inflation moving forward and the Fed's path of rate increases.
Oil prices stabilized Wednesday, with U.S. crude up more than 2%
and on track to end a record 12-session losing streak, lifting
energy stocks.
Shares of industrial stocks that have been hurt by rising input
costs were also among the market's leaders.
But swings in technology and internet stocks continued, with
Apple extending a recent slide and Netflix falling more than
1%.
Macy's was also an S&P 500 laggard, sliding more than 4%
following its earnings report even after it delivered healthy sales
growth in its latest quarter and raised its guidance for the year.
Investors will parse Thursday retail sales data for the latest
reading on consumer spending ahead of the holiday season.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbed to
3.154%, according to Tradeweb, from 3.145%. Yields rise as bond
prices fall. The WSJ Dollar Index, which tracks the dollar against
a basket of 16 currencies, was recently down 0.1%.
In Europe, the Stoxx Europe 600 was down 0.3%. Investors were
watching the latest developments in the Brexit negotiations after
Britain and the European Union on Tuesday hammered out a draft deal
on the U.K.'s exit from the bloc.
In Asia, Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 0.5% while Japan's Nikkei
Stock Average was up 0.2%. China's benchmark Shanghai Composite
Index fell 0.9%.
Write to Georgi Kantchev at georgi.kantchev@wsj.com and Amrith
Ramkumar at amrith.ramkumar@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
November 14, 2018 11:11 ET (16:11 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2018 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.