BOND REPORT: Haven Demand Drags Down Treasury Yields As China Sparks Global Stock-market Selloff
October 23 2018 - 12:41PM
Dow Jones News
By William Watts, MarketWatch
U.S. 10-year yield hits intraday low of 3.112%.
U.S. Treasury prices rose Tuesday, pulling down yields, on an
apparent flight to safety as a renewed Chinese stock market rout
sparked global equity weakness.
What are yields doing?
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell as much as 8 basis
points to 3.112%, while the 2-year Treasury note yield was at
2.867% and the 30-year Treasury bond yield fell 4.6 basis points to
3.335%. Yields and debt prices move in opposite directions.
What's driving the market?
U.S. stock indexes plunged, with the Dow Jones Industrial
Average tumbling by triple digits, joining a global downturn
sparked by heavy losses for Chinese shares
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/asia-stocks-retreat-broadly-tuesday-after-strong-gains-a-day-earlier-2018-10-22),
with the Shanghai Composite falling 2.3% after a two-day rebound
fueled by verbal intervention by Beijing following last week's
equity weakness.
The rout saw other assets perceived as risky also fall, while
traditional havens, including Treasurys and German government
bonds, gold and the Japanese yen found support. The yield on the
10-year German bonds, also known as bunds, fell to 0.414%.
The yield on Italy's 10-year government bond bounced back and
was up 3 basis points to 3.58% despite the European Commission
rejecting Rome's budget proposal, potentially sparking a standoff
over European Union fiscal rules.
The U.S. Treasury is also due to sell $38 billion in 2-year
notes later Tuesday.
What are analysts saying?
Upcoming U.S. supply could see Treasurys underperform German
bunds in the near term, wrote analysts at KBC Bank in Brussels,
while "general risk sentiment" was likely to be the main driver of
price action on Tuesday.
"From a technical point of view, the U.S. 10-year yield retested
previous resistance around 3.12%. The yield remained above this
level, strengthening the break and suggesting more upward potential
in the medium term," the KBC analysts wrote. "The cycle high stands
at 3.26%, but next real key resistance only kicks in around
3.75%."
What's on the economic calendar
It is a busy day for Federal Reserve policy makers.
Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic set to participate in a
discussion at the Louisiana State University Energy Summit at 2
p.m.
Chicago Fed President Charles Evans is scheduled to participate
in a moderated discussion at Northwestern University at 6:15 p.m.,
while Kansas City Fed President Esther George is set to deliver a
speech on the payment system at a conference in Australia at 8
p.m.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 23, 2018 12:26 ET (16:26 GMT)
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