U.S. Manufacturing Capacity Increases for 16th Month in a Row -- Update
October 16 2018 - 3:40PM
Dow Jones News
By Sarah Chaney
WASHINGTON -- U.S. manufacturers increased their capacity for
the 16th straight month in September, fresh evidence that a
strengthening economy is helping to propel a U.S. industrial
rebound.
The Trump Administration has prioritized increasing
manufacturing investment in the U.S. with tax cuts and tariffs on a
range of imported goods. Manufacturing capacity, tracked by the
Federal Reserve, is a measure of how much production plants could
achieve if running at full steam, a proxy for how much they are
expanding their plants and productivity.
Manufacturing capacity began recovering from a steep decline in
2011, faded in 2014 and resumed a modest march higher in mid-2015.
In September it was up 1.4% from a year earlier. The report
suggests investment in U.S. manufacturing has been increasing at a
steady pace over the past three years. In June it passed its 2008
peak.
The latest Fed manufacturing report showed factory output also
rose in September, helping drive overall industrial production up
0.3% for the month.
The Fed noted that output was "held down slightly" by Hurricane
Florence but that the estimated effect was less than 0.1 percentage
point.
The pickup in manufacturing production and capacity in recent
years reflects a strong global economy and could also be tied to a
resurgence in U.S. oil and gas output, said Kathy Bostjancic, head
U.S. financial-market economist at Oxford Economics.
"The shale operators obviously are very sensitive to prices. So
as we saw price declines, they were going to pull back on
operations and production," she said, adding that recovering oil
prices are helping spur production activity. "Any of the
ancillary...manufacturers related to shale operations will also get
a boost," Ms. Bostjancic said.
The manufacturing sector was hit hard by the 2007-09 recession
and later by a big drop in oil prices, which hurt energy
production. It also has been buffeted by years of competition from
low-cost countries such as China.
The Trump administration has imposed tariffs on imported steel
and aluminum and also on a wide range of imports from China, moves
meant to encourage more production in the U.S. at the expense of
foreign competitors by driving up the price of imported goods. Cuts
in U.S. corporate tax rates also were meant to spur domestic
investment.
"We are in the midst of a manufacturing renaissance -- something
which nobody thought you'd hear---which means more jobs for our
great electrical contractors," President Trump said this month at
an electrical-contractors convention in Philadelphia.
While some steelmakers have expanded U.S. production in the wake
of the tariffs, other U.S. manufacturers remain heavily dependent
on imported metals and have been constrained by the higher costs
associated with tariffs.
Evidence of slack in the industrial sector persists.
Manufacturers operated at 75.9% of their capacity in September,
below a long-run average of 78.3%.
"That suggests there's still excess capacity in manufacturing,"
Ms. Bostjancic said, adding, "that's a reason why goods prices are
still deflationary. The global economy is still producing too much
goods relative to demand."
Write to Sarah Chaney at sarah.chaney@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 16, 2018 15:25 ET (19:25 GMT)
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