Global Stocks Shrug Off New Tariffs to Post Gains
September 18 2018 - 9:11AM
Dow Jones News
By David Hodari
-- Gradual tariffs calm investors
-- European tech pares losses
-- Draghi urges further banking reform
Global stocks edged up Tuesday despite the Chinese commerce
ministry's threat of retaliation following President Trump's
announcement Monday that he would impose new levies on about $200
billion in Chinese goods.
U.S. futures pointed to gains of 0.2% at the opening bell for
the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, with the
Nasdaq Composite Index on course to open 0.1% higher.
The Stoxx Europe 600 was flat after China-exposed indexes
shrugged off early pressure in Asia-Pacific trading. Hong Kong's
Hang Seng closed 0.6% higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index
1.8% higher and the tech-heavy Shenzhen A Share up 1.7%.
Investors reacted with cautious optimism to news late Monday
that Washington is to impose further tariffs on Beijing. While the
introduction of the tariffs will be staggered, the move still
marked an escalation of the continuing trade spat that has dogged
relations between the world's two largest economies.
China's commerce ministry said Tuesday that it "has no choice
but to undertake synchronous retaliation" to defend its interests,
after the White House released details Monday of the 10% tax set to
be imposed on a range of Chinese imports including luggage and
seafood on Sept. 24. That levy will rise to 25% at the end of
2018.
Investors sold stocks around the world Monday in anticipation of
the Trump administration's announcement of fresh levies, and sent
the Shanghai Composite to its lowest level since November 2014.
But investors "were expecting tariffs of 25% and instead only
got ones of 10% for now so the reaction is quite positive," said
Claudia Panseri, European equity strategist at UBS Global Wealth
Management.
Also helping the bounce from Monday's selloff were market
expectations that negotiations between Washington and Beijing,
currently being planned for the coming weeks, will proceed as
expected.
Some traders were interpreting the staggered introduction of the
tariffs as a sign that the Trump administration is still eager to
reach a trade deal with China ahead of midterm elections in
November, according to Stewart Cook, head of London sales trading
at Berenberg.
The impact of the new tariffs on foreign-exchange trading was
limited, with the Chinese yuan 0.2% lower against the dollar. The
WSJ Dollar Index, which measures the U.S. currency against a basket
of 16 others, gained 0.1%.
China's currency has fallen more than 5% against the dollar so
far this year, with analysts pointing to trade tensions as a major
factor behind increasingly torpid economic figures out of Beijing.
Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar's steady rise has stalled in recent
weeks, with strategists suggesting that investors are becoming
inured to the trade fight.
The dollar "won't price the same thing over and over again. Part
of the recent slowing is that the Chinese were letting the yuan
weaken, but since they effectively called a halt to weakening in
the currency we've seen things calm down," said Kit Juckes, chief
foreign exchange strategist at Société Générale.
The Stoxx Europe 600's technology sector quickly pared early
losses, although the sector's initial drop came as Taiwan's
tech-heavy Taiex index underperformed most other Asia-Pacific
indexes and after the Nasdaq Composite on Monday suffered its
heaviest one-day loss since July on Monday.
Those moves signaled investors' increasing concerns that the
import taxes visited by the U.S. and China on one another will
sting U.S. tech-sector giants with significant manufacturing bases
in China.
Importers have in recent weeks sought to be spared from tariffs,
with the Trump administration removing about 300 products initially
included in the original tariff list released in early July.
Smartwatches -- after a direct request from Apple Inc. -- and
Bluetooth devices were among the products to be exempted from the
levies.
In a further sign of sagging sentiment, investors have taken
profits on tech stocks so far in September, with the sector
experiencing its sharpest monthly drop in positioning in nine
years, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch's European fund
manager survey.
European Central Bank President Mario Draghi urged eurozone
governments to take further action to shore up the regions banking
sector in a speech early Tuesday.
Mr. Draghi encouraged a number of actions including harmonizing
the bloc's rules on how to treat bank liquidity.
Italy's fiscal situation was in focus, though fears that the
country's upcoming budget announcement would bring it into conflict
with the European Union have ebbed in recent days.
In commodities, Brent crude oil was last up 1.2% at $78.99 a
barrel and gold was last down 0.1% at $1,202.28 a troy ounce.
Write to David Hodari at David.Hodari@dowjones.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 18, 2018 08:56 ET (12:56 GMT)
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