Escalating Trade Threats Drag Global Shares Lower
June 19 2018 - 8:32AM
Dow Jones News
By David Hodari
-- Fresh tariff threats batter global stocks
-- ZTE pounded after Senate votes to reimpose ban
-- Trade tensions sting commodities
Global stocks dropped Tuesday as trade tensions between the U.S.
and China continued to spiral, sparking particularly heavy selling
in Asia.
Futures put the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average
on course for opening selloffs of 1.2% and 1.4%, respectively.
Aerospace giant Boeing Company was on course to drop 2% at the U.S.
opening bell, with machinery company Caterpillar Inc. expected to
fall 1.7%. The U.S. tech-sector also looked likely to face
pressure.
Those moves were expected after Asian investors dumped Chinese
stocks. The Shanghai Composite Index slumped 3.8% to its lowest in
almost two years, and the Shenzhen A Share index plunged 5.8%.
Investors also unloaded equities from neighboring indexes, with
Hong Kong's Hang Seng down 2.8% and Taiwan's Taiex falling
1.7%.
The Stoxx Europe 600 was down 1% in early afternoon trading.
President Donald Trump raised the stakes in Washington's trade
conflict with China Monday, asking his administration to draw up a
fresh list of Chinese goods worth $200 billion on which to impose
tariffs.
The move followed levies on $50 billion in Chinese imports to
the U.S. enforced late last week aimed at punishing China for
unfair trading practices. Beijing immediately threatened
retaliatory measures on high-value American exports like crude oil,
farm products and cars.
Should China follow through on those measures, Mr. Trump said he
had instructed U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer to
impose a 10% tariff on that fresh tranche of goods.
The development marked the latest escalation in a series of
events that investors fear could precipitate a trade war between
the world's two largest economies. Investor worries about the
willingness of the Trump administration to maintain international
trading relationships with neighbors and allies have injected
uncertainty into global markets in recent months.
While the impact of the trade spat for U.S. consumers has so far
been muted, firms across the world would feel the effects if
Washington and Beijing implement their proposed levies, according
to Paul Donovan, chief economist at UBS Global Wealth
Management.
"Non-Chinese companies, including U.S. companies, are just as
likely to be affected by taxes on Chinese goods, given the
complexity of modern supply chains," Mr. Donovan said in a
note.
The yield on U.S. 10-year Treasurys fell to 2.879% in European
late morning trade from 2.926% late Monday. Yields move inversely
to prices. With strong growth and an interest-rate increase last
week from the Federal Reserve, the WSJ Dollar Index, which measures
the U.S. currency against a basket of 16 others, was last up 0.4%
extending its five-day climb to 1.3%.
The dollar was also up 0.6% against the renminbi, which is one
of the emerging market currencies that has come under pressure from
building trade war concerns so far this year.
If U.S. tariffs do begin to squeeze the Chinese economy, "the
fear would be that China could be tempted to devalue its currency
as a support mechanism for its economy," said Lee Hardman, currency
analyst at MUFG.
Sino-American trade news stung European stocks, with the Stoxx
Europe 600 basic materials sector dropping 2.5% and industrial
goods and services firms also slipping. Global logistics giant A.P.
Moller-Maersk fell 3.4%.
European market participants were also eyeing car import
tariffs, sending the Stoxx 600's autos and parts sector down
1.7%.
"If we reverse the trend since the 1950s of movement toward free
trade... Europe could be significantly hit by tariffs on cars if
the probe on imported autos leads to actual decisions by the U.S.,"
said Gilles Moec, chief European economist at Bank of America
Merrill Lynch.
Hong Kong-listed ZTE Group plummeted 25% after the U.S. Senate
voted to reinstate a ban on selling U.S. parts to the Chinese
telecom company. The move marked the rejection of a deal between
Mr. Trump and Beijing to save the firm.
Also among the Hang Seng's worst performers was Chinese pork
producer WH Group, which owns U.S.-based Smithfield Foods, dropping
5.7% on jitters about the impact of the tariffs on agricultural
trading.
Trade friction fears were reflected among commodities, too.
Chicago-traded soybean futures were last down 2.7%, London Metal
Exchange copper futures fell 2%, and West Texas Intermediate crude
oil--which Beijing has threatened to target--was down 1.7% at
$64.75 a barrel. Brent crude was last down 0.8% at $74.75 a
barrel.
Saumya Vaishampayan and William Mauldin contributed to this
article.
Write to David Hodari at David.Hodari@dowjones.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
June 19, 2018 08:17 ET (12:17 GMT)
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