Livestock Highlights: Top Stories of the Day
February 22 2018 - 6:00PM
Dow Jones News
TOP STORIES
Meat Stocks Growing Amid Record Production -- Market Talk
15:26 ET -- Frozen stocks of red meat are building more quickly
than expected. The USDA says that total supplies of pork in
commercial freezers rose to 567.9M pounds in January, 16% above the
previous month and 8% above the same time last year. Frozen-beef
stocks rose 2%. Meat companies are due to produce more meat than
ever this year, which analysts say likely will test the ability of
consumers domestically and abroad to consume the extra supply.
Government economists expect livestock prices to suffer this year
amid the increase, and a buildup of supplies in freezers could
exacerbate that. January pork belly stocks of 44.6 million pounds
were more than 200% above the previous year's historic lows.
(benjamin.parkin@wsj.com; @b_parkyn)
Pilgrim's Pours Some Cold Water on Organic Movement -- Market Talk
12:15 ET -- Food companies have a momentous task feeding a
growing world population, says the CEO of chicken giant Pilgrim's
Pride, and consumers should recognize that going organic won't get
them there. Touting the poultry processor's investments in organic
production, Bill Lovette says land will nevertheless constrain how
far the shift can go. "It's not practical, it's not sustainable,"
he says. "We have to do a better job of talking to consumers and
convincing them that our food production must change."
(benjamin.parkin@wsj.com; @b_parkyn)
Wendy's Sales Miss Highlights Competitive Burger Climate -- Market Talk
10:09 ET -- Wendy's modest same-store sales miss in 4Q reflects
the increasingly price-competitive fast food environment. Its North
American same-store sales growth of 1.3% in 4Q lagged that of
rivals McDonald's and Burger King. "We know we have to stay on our
front foot and continue to play offense," Wendy's CEO Todd Penegor
tells investors. Penegor says Wendy's has added more menu items to
its 4 for $4 menu and that the company is also focusing on its
premium-priced burgers. He said Wendy's will continue to emphasize
in marketing that its hamburgers have always been made from fresh,
not frozen, beef, as McDonald's rolls out burgers made with fresh
beef this year. (julie.jargon@wsj.com)
STORIES OF INTEREST
Crumbling Infrastructure Catches Up with Cargill Plant -- Market Talk
11:53 ET -- Commodity giant Cargill says aging US
infrastructure, once the envy of the world, is holding back
American farmers and exporters. Chief Risk Officer Joe Stone points
to Wyalusing, Penn, where a weak bridge forces truckers to take a
more circuitous route when traveling to and from the company's beef
plant. That's created about half a million dollars in additional
cost, he says. A lack of funds to repair the bridge shows why a
national infrastructure upgrade is urgent, Stone tells an audience
at a USDA conference, also citing seaports that can't fit the
latest large vessels: "These are really bottlenecks to our
prosperity." (benjamin.parkin@wsj.com; @b_parkyn)
Livestock, Dairy Prices Expected to Slide in 2018 -- Market Talk
09:50 ET -- Livestock and dairy prices will likely tumble in
2018, the USDA says, as low and stable feed costs encourage record
production. The agency expects hog prices to fall almost 5% to $48
per 100 pounds in 2018, Chief Economist Robert Johansson says at an
annual agency conference, with steer prices down 2%. Factors like
cheap feed and strong demand have encouraged farmers to ramp up
herd sizes in recent years. Foreign markets will be increasingly
important in absorbing the extra production, Johansson says. Milk
prices, meanwhile, are expected to drop almost 10% in 2018 to
$16.05 per 100 pounds. (benjamin.parkin@wsj.com; @b_parkyn)
FUTURES MARKETS
Cattle Futures Fall Ahead of Report -- Market Talk
14:41 ET -- Cattle futures fell for a second consecutive session
as lower physical prices made traders reluctant to buy further. The
market rallied last week, helped by a surge in cash prices. But,
with feedyards accepting lower money for their herds on Wednesday
at $128 per 100 pounds, some futures traders are betting the market
has topped for the time being. Hog contracts, meanwhile, continue
to rebound from recent lows. Participants are looking ahead to the
USDA's monthly cold storage report at 3pm ET. CME February live
cattle futures fell 1% to $1.2835 a pound, while April lean hog
contracts rose 2% to 71.275 cents a pound.
(benjamin.parkin@wsj.com; @b_parkyn)
CASH MARKETS
Zumbrota, Minn Hog Steady At $41.00 - Feb 22
Barrow and gilt prices at the Zumbrota, Minn., livestock market are
steady at $41.00 per hundredweight.
Sow prices are steady. Sows weighing 400-450 pounds are at $47.00-$49.00,
450-500 pounds are $47.00-$49.00 and those over 500 pounds are $51.00-$53.00.
The day's total run is estimated at 150 head.
Prices are provided by the Central Livestock Association.
Estimated U.S. Pork Packer Margin Index - Feb 22
All figures are on a per-head basis.
Date Standard Margin Estimated margin
Operating Index at vertically -
integrated operations
*
Feb 22 +$25.56 +$ 37.77
Feb 21 +$25.13 +$ 37.64
Feb 20 +$25.16 +$ 38.99
* Based on Iowa State University's latest estimated cost of production.
A positive number indicates a processing margin above the cost of
production of the animals.
Beef-O-Meter
This report compares the USDA's latest beef carcass composite
values as a percentage of their respective year-ago prices.
Beef
For Today Choice 111.3
(Percent of Year-Ago) Select 110.0
USDA Boxed Beef, Pork Reports
Wholesale choice-grade beef prices Thursday rose $1.03 per
hundred pounds, to $218.40, according to the USDA. Select-grade
prices rose 14 cents per hundred pounds, to $212.06. The total load
count was 98. Wholesale pork prices rose 6 cents, to $77.97 a
hundred pounds, based on Omaha, Neb., price quotes.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
February 22, 2018 17:45 ET (22:45 GMT)
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