6 Months : From Nov 2017 to May 2018
By Carla Mozee and Victor Reklaitis, MarketWatch
Headline U.S. consumer inflation records biggest increase in 5 months, though other measures subdued
European stocks finished higher Wednesday after getting whipped around as the rate of monthly U.S. inflation exceeded expectations, underscoring concerns that rising consumer prices will lead to higher borrowing costs.
How markets are moving
The Stoxx Europe 600 index closed up by 1.1% at 374.53, but had flipped lower in the wake of U.S. figures on January inflation and retail sales. On Tuesday, the pan-European index lost 0.6% (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/european-stocks-run-into-the-red-as-wall-street-sets-course-for-pullback-2018-02-13).
Also digging out of the red post-data, Germany's DAX 30 index closed up 1.2% at 12,339.16, and France's CAC 40 index gained 1.1% to 5,165.26.
Spain's IBEX 35 picked up 0.4% to 9,686.20. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/ftse-100-climbs-as-investors-embrace-risk-before-us-inflation-data-2018-02-14) was up 0.6% at 7,213.97.
The euro bought $1.2387, up from $1.2354 late Tuesday in New York.
In the fixed-income market, the yield on the 10-year German bund reversed course and recently was up by 2 basis points to 0.755%.
What's driving the market
European stocks briefly swung lower and U.S. stocks opened in the red after the U.S. consumer-price index leapt 0.5% in January (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/cpi-surges-05-in-january-but-yearly-rate-of-inflation-unchanged-2018-02-14), the biggest increase in five months. Economists surveyed by MarketWatch had forecast a 0.4% increase. The CPI over the past 12 months was unchanged at 2.1%, but was above the 1.9% consensus estimate.
European stocks were higher ahead of the inflation report. The recent spike in volatility and violent selloffs in global markets have emanated in part from worries that higher inflation will lead the Federal Reserve to hike up interest rates at a faster-than-expected pace.
Also Wednesday, U.S. retail sales dropped 0.3% in January (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-retail-sales-slump-in-january---and-december-doesnt-look-so-good-now-either-2018-02-14), the biggest drop in nearly a year.
European stocks early Wednesday also got a boost after data showing Germany's gross domestic product expanded by 0.6% in the fourth quarter (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/german-gdp-eases-to-25-in-q4-as-exports-pick-up-2018-02-14) and by 2.9% a year earlier. The growth was aided by demand for German exports, although the figures indicated slight easing from 0.7% in the fourth quarter.
What strategists are saying
"Given the data it seems unlikely the Fed will shy away from a rate hike in March. It would, in fact, seem all but guaranteed following the appointment of Jerome Powell earlier this month as Fed chair," said Jacob Deppe, head of trading at Infinox, in a note.
"The fear is the Fed hikes too far, too fast, U.S. monetary policy will have to walk a tightrope in order not to kill off growth, while steering a path towards normal economic conditions. Mr. Powell has an unenviable task ahead of him," said Deppe.
Credit Suisse Group AG (CSGN.EB) (CSGN.EB) gained 3.8% after the bank posted a narrower-than-expected loss of 2.13 billion Swiss francs (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/credit-suisse-loses-1-bln-in-2017-on-us-tax-hit-2018-02-14) in the fourth quarter. The lender also posted its third straight full-year net loss.
Check out:Credit Suisse CEO defends enabling volatility bets with XIV (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/credit-suisse-ceo-defends-enabling-bets-against-volatility-with-xiv-it-worked-well-for-a-long-time-until-it-didnt-2018-02-14)
Sky PLC shares (SKY.LN) leapt 2% after the broadcaster extended its rights to show Premier League soccer matches through 2022 (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/sky-extends-premier-league-rights-to-2022-2018-02-14), at a cost of 1.19 billion pounds ($1.65 billion) a year.
The second reading of eurozone GDP in the fourth quarter came in at 0.6% from Eurostat, meeting expectations. Separately, eurozone industrial production increases at a 0.4% rate in December, above the 0.2% FactSet estimate.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
February 14, 2018 12:50 ET (17:50 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2018 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.