Sugar Prices Down on Favorable Brazil Weather
September 19 2017 - 11:58AM
Dow Jones News
By Carolyn Cui
Sugar prices fell Tuesday amid expectations for favorable
weather conditions in Brazil, adding to concerns about a global
glut of the sweetener.
Raw sugar for October delivery dropped 1.2% to 14.14 cents a
pound on the ICE Futures U.S. exchange.
The latest weather forecasts showed that several sugar-growing
regions in Brazil would get some rainfall in the coming week, after
a long spate of dryness. This would help enhance the crop yields in
these areas, according to Michael McDougall, director of
commodities agency at Societe Generale.
On the other hand, the EU forecasting agency Mars for the second
time in a row raised its estimate of the average sugar beet yields
because rainfall in many regions has supported crop growth.
The sugar beet yield was expected to exceed the average by as
much as 6.6% and to be 3.7% up year-on-year, helped to a major
extent by the robust German figures, the agency said.
In recent weeks, raw sugar prices were pressured by poor demand
for refined sugar. The white premium, or the price difference
between the white and raw sugar, has dropped lately, reaching
levels that aren't sufficient to cover sugar refiners' production
costs.
Last Friday, the October white sugar futures expired in London
with a 1.3% decline in prices and the smallest physical delivery
for the contract since 2009, suggesting poor demand for refined
sugar.
Thanks to bumper crops around the world, the sugar market is
forecast to experience a significant supply surplus this year.
Societe Generale recently raised its estimate of world sugar
production to 179.5 million tons for the marketing year 2017-18, a
5.5% increase from the prior year. As a result, the bank now
foresees a global surplus of 5.3 million tons, up from its earlier
estimate of 4.5 million tons, due to largely favorable weather in
India. Brazil, meanwhile, is expected to produce a record amount of
sugar in 2017-18.
In other markets, orange juice for November was up 0.6% to
$1.5225 a pound; cocoa for December fell 0.4% to $1,968 a ton;
arabica coffee for December fell 3.3% to $1.3575 a pound; and
December cotton was down 0.5% to 69.16 cents a pound.
Write to Carolyn Cui at carolyn.cui@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 19, 2017 11:43 ET (15:43 GMT)
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