Sugar Rebounds From 16-Month Low
June 27 2017 - 12:20PM
Dow Jones News
By Carolyn Cui
Sugar rebounded Tuesday after hitting its lowest level in 16
months a day earlier, as traders awaited news out of Brazil
regarding the pace of sugar production.
Raw sugar for July added 0.4% to 12.66 cents a pound on the ICE
Futures U.S. exchange. The contract settled at12.61 cents Monday,
the lowest level for the front-month contract since February
2016.
An S&P Global Platts survey showed that sugar production in
Brazil's key center-south region was expected to more than double
in the first half of June to 2.45 million metric tons, which would
also represent a 40% increase from the second half of May. Only 1.4
days were estimated to have been lost to rain during the period and
current weather is ideal, suggesting that sugar mills would
increase sugar production.
Brazil's Union of Sugar Cane Industry Association is scheduled
to release the results Wednesday, the group said in a notice.
"Sugar production [will] set a new fortnightly record for this
season due to a high sugar mix level and good crushing volumes,"
said Claudiu Covrig, a senior agriculture analyst at Platts
Kingsman, a unit of S&P Platts.
Sugar traders are closely watching Brazil, as it is big enough
to swing the global market. Despite a 30% drop in sugar prices from
a year ago, many Brazilian mills would continue to produce sugar as
they already locked in prices when they were higher.
With current prices now below many producers' costs, it is
expected that the amount of cane devoted to ethanol production will
increase, said Nick Penney, senior trader at Sucden Financial
Research, in a note to clients.
Michael McDougall, director of commodities agency at Societe
Generale, noted that there are still a large number of outstanding
positions in the July contract, which is set to expire in four
trading days.
A total of 80,557 contracts are still left outstanding as of
Tuesday, 39% above the expiry of the previous May contract. The May
delivery was 1.5 million tons, second only to the record delivery
in May 2015, which was 1.9 million tons, according to Mr.
McDougall.
"So potentially, we have a large delivery, and that, in theory
should be negative," he said.
In other markets, cocoa for September gained 0.9% to $1,862 a
ton, arabica coffee for July was up 0.2% to $1.2475 a pound, frozen
concentrated orange juice for July lost 1.4% to $1.3780 a pound,
and December cotton rose 1.1% to 67.99 cents a pound.
Write to Carolyn Cui at carolyn.cui@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
June 27, 2017 12:05 ET (16:05 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2017 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.