Raising Short-Term Rates Three Times in 2017 'Reasonable Baseline,' Fed's Kaplan Says
March 23 2017 - 10:19PM
Dow Jones News
By Will Connors
CHICAGO -- Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Robert
Kaplan said Thursday that raising short-term interest rates three
times this year "is a reasonable baseline," and that he is not
"looking for a pause" in rate raises as long as the U.S. employment
and inflation figures continue to improve.
Mr. Kaplan said that progress in reaching the central bank's
full employment and inflation objectives "gives me confidence" to
be "gradually and patiently removing accommodation."
Mr. Kaplan is a voting member of the interest-rate setting
Federal Open Market Committee, which met last week and raised
rates, and it is expected to do so perhaps two or more times this
year.
Fed officials' median expectation is that they will lift their
benchmark federal-funds rate three times this year, in
quarter-percentage-point steps, according to projections released
last week. Their first move was after their meeting March 14-15,
when they raised the rate by a quarter percentage point to a range
between 0.75% and 1%.
Mr. Kaplan said the central bank will be able to make an
announcement on plans for trimming the balance sheet, which will be
"a healthy thing," but that "we need to make some further progress"
before doing so. He didn't give specifics on timing, but said that
when balance sheet announcements are made to the market, it will be
done in "a gradual, predictable way."
During a wide-ranging discussion at the Chicago Council on
Global Affairs Thursday evening, Mr. Kaplan was largely bullish
about the U.S. economy, saying that "we're approaching full
employment" and that the household sector is in "pretty good
shape."
But he issued stern warnings about the country's aging
population and its slow workforce growth, about the negative
impacts of ignoring the effects of climate change on global
economies, and about closing the country's borders to
immigrants.
He noted that immigrants are expected to make up more than 50 %
of U.S. workforce growth over the next 20 years.
"A distinctive hallmark of the U.S.'s success has been
attracting, welcoming and assimilating immigrants, who've gone on
to be successful members of our society and leaders in our
country," Mr. Kaplan said. "We don't want to lose that."
Write to Will Connors at william.connors@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
March 23, 2017 22:04 ET (02:04 GMT)
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