Hog Futures Surge in Late Rally; Cattle Flounders
March 23 2017 - 3:34PM
Dow Jones News
By Benjamin Parkin
CHICAGO--Hog futures surged Thursday to reverse almost a week's
worth of losses, as traders switched their bets from cattle to
hogs.
April lean hog futures rose 1.8% to close at 69.350 cents a
pound at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, while contracts for June
delivery jumped 2.4% to 77.600 cents a pound.
Cattle futures, meanwhile, slid after reaching year highs this
week. Traders, sensing that the cattle rally could be ending,
booked profits on those contracts to buy up hogs, which were cheap
in comparison. The price of hog futures was too low after a
sustained bout of selling, they said.
Live cattle futures for April slid 0.6% to $1.21775, backing
away from 14-month highs.
"The cattle market was way stretched out, it was overbought on a
huge run," said Don Roose, president of U.S. Commodities Inc. "That
gave us the impetus for the big swing around."
The spread between cattle and hog prices is itself a result of
the rising cost of beef and sliding pork. But wholesale beef prices
fell Thursday morning, dropping $1 to $222 per 100 pounds, in a
sign that the rally could be ending.
Analysts said that cheap pork could soon replace beef as a more
financially viable meat at the retail counter, especially if demand
is strong.
While a scandal involving the alleged export of tainted
Brazilian beef sparked excited talk about potential for U.S.
ranchers to increase their beef exports, some analysts said it
presents greater opportunities for U.S. hog farmers, whose
relatively cheap product would face fewer bureaucratic hurdles in
shipping to large markets like China.
"We're ready to move on that," said Craig VanDyke, an analyst at
Top Third Ag Marketing in Chicago.
Write to Benjamin Parkin at benjamin.parkin@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
March 23, 2017 15:19 ET (19:19 GMT)
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