Oil Prices Retreat But Trend Remains Upbeat
February 23 2017 - 11:01PM
Dow Jones News
By Jenny W. Hsu
Crude-oil prices moderated in Asia Friday as investors took
profits following gains of over 1% during the New York session.
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, light, sweet crude futures
for delivery in April traded at $54.33 a barrel at 0224 GMT, down
$0.12 in the Globex electronic session. April Brent crude on
London's ICE Futures exchange fell $0.11 to $56.47 a barrel.
Overnight, oil prices got a boost from the U.S. Energy
Information Administration's data that showed crude stockpiles
there grew less than expected last week.
While the amount of oil in storage increased for seven straight
weeks to hit new records, the 564,000 barrel increase was far short
of the 3.4 million barrel addition anticipated by analysts and
traders surveyed by The Wall Street Journal.
The smaller-than-expected increase was largely due to sharply
lower volumes of imported crude, potentially a sign that supply
cuts by major oil exporters are manifesting in the U.S, analysts
said.
A group of 20 oil producers, including members of the
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, have reduced
their production in the past month in line with a landmark output
cut agreement signed last year. Prices have since moved upward, but
growing supplies from the U.S. is hindering them from breaching the
$60 a barrel mark.
U.S. crude production at 9 million barrels a day last week was
the highest level since early April 2016, according to the EIA
data.
"It is apparent that U.S. oil producers have turned the taps
back on," said Phin Ziebell, a senior analyst at National Australia
Bank.
Oil watchers say rapid rise of U.S. shale oil could weaken oil
producers' resolve to stick to the production cut pact after the
initial period. OPEC's latest data shows the bloc has eliminated
890,000 barrels a day in January, the first full month after the
agreement took effect, indicating a roughly 90% adherence rate
among participant countries.
It remains to be seen how much longer the members will remain
compliant under the looming threat of U.S. oil. A telling barometer
of the group's commitment level would be the outcome of OPEC's
meeting in May when members discuss whether or not to extend the
cuts further.
Analysts say the short-to-mid term trading curve shows that most
oil investors are still banking on a tighter oil market, and
possibly a rebalance by end of this year due to the cuts. Steady
demand growth in China and India will also help soak up a bulk of
the surplus barrels.
However, the negative trend seen in the futures curve beyond
2018 "could likely be a reflection of concerns over the prospects
of future production curbs beyond OPEC's six months agreement
term," said Barnabas Gan, an economist at OCBC.
Nymex reformulated gasoline blendstock for March--the benchmark
gasoline contract--fell 55 points to $1.5231 a gallon, while March
diesel traded at $1.6525, 42 points lower.
ICE gasoil for March changed hands at $498.25 a metric ton, down
$1.75 from Thursday's settlement.
Write to Jenny W. Hsu at jenny.hsu@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
February 23, 2017 22:46 ET (03:46 GMT)
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