U.S. Stocks Pare Gains on Trump Speech
January 20 2017 - 2:26PM
Dow Jones News
By Riva Gold and Corrie Driebusch
U.S. stocks rose in choppy trading as Donald Trump was sworn in
as president of the U.S.
The Dow industrials rose 70 points, or 0.4%, to 19802 after
being up 98 points ahead of Mr. Trump's speech. Stock-trading
volume spiked during the remarks around the same time the index
pared gains to a 39-point increase.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite recently gained 0.3%.
Government bonds also swung. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield was
2.482% Friday compared with 2.500% ahead of Mr. Trump's speech and
2.461% Thursday. Yields move inversely to prices.
It was the latest instance of stocks, bonds and the dollar
swinging on comments by the new president. On Tuesday, the dollar
fell to its lowest level in a month after Mr. Trump called the
dollar "too strong." Last week health-care stocks dropped after Mr.
Trump criticized the pharmaceutical industry during his first press
conference as president-elect.
"We're going to see high intraday volatility on off-the-cuff
remarks," said Tom Digenan, head of U.S. equities at UBS Global
Asset Management. "We don't know how onerous protectionist measures
will be, what the tax rate will be or what deregulation we'll
get."
On Friday, Mr. Trump said his administration will follow "two
simple rules; buy American and hire American." It also promised new
roads, bridges and highways.
Stock-trading volume jumped during the speech, according to
FactSet. That rise also corresponded with a large sell order in
e-mini S&P 500 futures.
Since the November election, investors have broadly bought the
dollar and U.S. stocks and sold long-dated government bonds on
expectations for tax cuts, spending increases and rolled-back
regulation.
Wall Street analysts have not matched investor expectations for
the impact of Mr. Trump's policies on earnings. Analyst earnings
estimates for S&P 500 companies in 2017 remains at about $133 a
share, roughly the same level as in October ahead of Mr. Trump's
victory, according to FactSet.
"There is reason to be optimistic and for stocks to go up,
though maybe not so quickly as sentiment pushed it in that
direction," said Paul Christopher, head global market strategist at
Wells Fargo Investment Institute.
Indeed, some popular trades have waned in the trading sessions
leading up to Mr. Trump's inauguration.
In the month following Nov. 8, the Dow industrials jumped 7%.
Since Dec. 8, however, the index has climbed 1%.
On Thursday the blue-chip index erased its gains this year in
its fifth consecutive session of losses. Part of the reason for the
reversal: a pullback in big bank stocks.
Financials, the best-performing S&P 500 sector from Election
Day to year-end, lost ground in the past week as investors pulled
money out of the sector. On Friday, financials gained back a bit,
up 0.4% in recent trading, but the sector is still on track to end
the week down 1.8% and is now down 0.7% in 2017.
Financial sector stock funds snapped a 16-week streak of inflows
and industrial sector funds posted their biggest outflow since
2015, according to fund-tracker EPFR Global, reversing popular
trends that followed the November election.
Flows into gold funds hit a 10-week high. On Friday, the price
of gold rose 0.3% to $1205.10 an ounce. So far this month gold
prices have risen more than 4%.
The WSJ Dollar Index was down less than 0.1% on Friday.
Write to Riva Gold at riva.gold@wsj.com and Corrie Driebusch at
corrie.driebusch@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
January 20, 2017 14:11 ET (19:11 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2017 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.