By Joseph Adinolfi and Sara Sjolin, MarketWatch
Investors focus on Wednesday's Fed's interest-rate decision
The Dow Jones Industrial Average opened at a fresh record high
on Tuesday as the blue-chip gauge continued its march toward
20,000.
Investors remain fixated on the Federal Reserve's interest-rate
decision due Wednesday, with little in the way of important U.S.
economic data.
Investors are pricing in a nearly 100% chance of a hike on
Wednesday, but it is the tone of the Fed's statement, as well as
its latest batch of economic forecasts, that will be closely
scrutinized for clues to the central bank's plans for 2017, said
James Abate, chief investment officer at Centre Asset
Management.
"It's really going to be expectations for commentary from the
Fed related to the pace of rate increases in 2017," Abate said.
See:Yellen to tell the markets to 'cool your jets'
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/yellen-to-tell-the-markets-to-cool-your-jets-2016-12-12)
The Dow climbed 106 points, or 0.6%, to 19,905. If the Dow
finishes higher, it will notch its seventh straight gain. Sharp
rises in shares of Apple Inc.(AAPL), UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH),
and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS), were contributing the most to
the rise in the stock gauge. Shares of 3M Co.(MMM) and Coca-Cola
Co. (KO) were the only early laggards.
The benchmark on Monday bucked a negative trend across the U.S.
stock markets and closed at an all-time high
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-20000-within-sight-but-caution-over-fed-wont-make-it-easy-2016-12-12).
U.S. stocks have rallied aggressively since President-elect
Donald Trump defeated Democrat Hillary Clinton in an upset victory
in the Nov. 8 U.S. election. Investors are betting that Trump's
proposed policies, including corporate tax cuts, infrastructure
spending and deregulation, will be unequivocally pro-business, if
passed.
Read:Time to cash in your bank stocks, going by this chart
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/time-to-cash-in-your-bank-stocks-going-by-this-chart-2016-12-13)
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/time-to-cash-in-your-bank-stocks-going-by-this-chart-2016-12-13)These
expectations have increased investors' willingness to embrace risky
assets like stocks, said Mike Antonelli, equity sales trader at
R.W. Baird & Co.
"The move is not a head fake. The kind of strength and
resilience we've seen since the election has diminished the notion
that this might be [temporary]," Antonelli said. "I think the rally
will continue through year-end."
See:Is stock-market 'Trumpophoria' running out of room?
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/is-stock-market-trumpophoria-running-out-of-room-2016-12-12)
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/is-stock-market-trumpophoria-running-out-of-room-2016-12-12)Antonelli
said he doesn't expect the Dow to surpass the 20,000 milestone on
Tuesday, but believes it will happen before New Year's.
Read:5 things to know about the Dow's attempt to rally to 20,000
and beyond
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/5-things-to-know-about-the-dows-attempt-to-rally-to-20000-and-beyond-2016-12-12)
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 index gained 10.45 points, or 0.5%,
to 2,267, with all 11 sectors in the green, led by a more than 1%
rise in technology and a 0.9% advance in telecommunications.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index added 48 points, or 0.9%,
to 5,461.
Both the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq Composite ended lower on
Monday, with investors appearing reluctant to push shares higher
ahead of the Fed meeting.
U.S. stocks also benefited from an uptick in demand for risky
European assets. Earlier, UniCredit said it plans to shed EUR17.7
billion ($18.9 billion) in bad debt
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/unicredit-looks-to-raise-14-bln-cut-14000-jobs-2016-12-13).
The move, which will help to restore Italy's largest lender to
health, assuaged fears about Italy's troubled banking sector. The
European Stoxx 600
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/italian-stocks-lead-european-equities-back-to-11-month-high-2016-12-13)
was up 0.7% to 256.33. Asian markets closed slightly higher
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/asian-markets-largely-flat-ahead-of-fed-meeting-2016-12-12).
Fed meeting: The central bank kicks off its two-day
policy-setting meeting on Tuesday and will deliver its rate
announcement on Wednesday at 2 p.m. Eastern Time. The bank is
widely expected to raise its benchmark rate by 25 basis points, so
the big question for traders is how hawkish or dovish the statement
will be.
"Stock traders appear to be betting on a dovish Fed," said Ipek
Ozkardeskaya, senior market analyst at London Capital Group, in
emailed comments.
Read:Look for the Fed to hike rates and to ignore the elephant
in the room
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/fed-to-hike-interest-rates-next-week-while-ignoring-the-elephant-in-the-room-2016-12-09)
The dollar inched higher
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dollar-eases-slightly-vs-yen-as-some-say-rally-may-be-running-out-of-steam-2016-12-13)
against most other major currencies, with the ICE U.S. Dollar
index, a widely watched gauge of the greenback's strength against a
basket of six prominent rivals, rose 0.1% to 101.11, leaving it
just shy of its highest levels since 2003.
Oil prices extended their gains on Tuesday, with crude futures
traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/oil-prices-slip-as-investor-doubts-grow-about-opecs-plans-to-cut-production-2016-12-13)
rising 0.5% to $53.07 a barrel after the International Energy
Agency lifted its demand forecasts
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/opec-output-at-record-high-as-deal-was-struck-iea-2016-12-13)
for 2016. Metals were mostly lower.
Commitments by members of the Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries, and a host of nonmember exporters, to cut oil
production have boosted oil prices in recent days.
Strong readings on Chinese industrial production and retail
sales provided more evidence that the world's second-largest
economy steadied in November, helping to boost global risk
sentiment.
See:Will oil output cuts work? Watch these 7 factors
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/will-oil-output-cuts-work-watch-these-7-things-2016-12-12)
In other economic news on Tuesday, the NFIB small-business index
jumped by the largest monthly amount in more than seven years
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/small-business-sentiment-surges-after-republican-sweep-2016-12-13)
in November on optimism Trump's administration will spur an
increase in business activity.
Movers and shakers: Energy shares, including Chesapeake Energy
Corp.(CHK) and Noble Energy Inc.(NBL), received a boost from the
oil-price rally.
U.S.-listed shares of Unilever PLC(ULVR.LN) (ULVR.LN) climbed
1.8% after Jefferies upgraded the consumer products company to buy
from hold.
Inovalon Holdings Inc.(INOV) sank 35% after the data-analytics
company late Monday slashed its yearly guidance.
VeriFone Systems Inc.(PAY) shares fell 0.6% Tuesday despite
topping Wall Street estimates
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/verifone-shares-tick-higher-as-earnings-beat-outlook-misses-2016-12-12)
for the quarter in an earnings report released late Monday.
U.S.-listed shares of Anheuser-Busch InBev SA(ABI.BT) (ABI.BT)
added 1.2% after news Asahi Group Holdings Ltd. (2502.TO) will buy
five Eastern European beer brands
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/asahi-to-pay-78-bln-for-5-ab-inbev-beer-brands-2016-12-13-44853827)
from the brewer.
Apple Inc.(AAPL) rose 0.6% after The Wall Street Journal
reported that the tech giant is eager to invest in a $100 billion
fund
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-said-to-be-interested-in-softbanks-100-billion-tech-fund-2016-12-12)
being raised by Japanese internet and telecommunications giant
SoftBank Group Corp. (9984.TO).
Wal-Mart Stores Inc.(WMT)shares rose 0.6% even after U.K.
supermarket chain Asda, a subsidiary of Wal-Mart, saw its market
share fall to 15.3%, from 16.2% for the comparable 12 weeks.
Read: Wal-Mart shares are poised for more gains, but could Trump
spoil the party?
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/wal-mart-shares-poised-for-more-gains-but-could-trump-spoil-the-party-2016-12-13)
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 13, 2016 09:54 ET (14:54 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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