By Sara Sjolin, MarketWatch
Investors hope Fed dove Brainard can calm market fears
Wall Street looked set for another day of losses Monday as fears
the Federal Reserve will soon raise interest rates continued to
spook investors out of assets considered risky, such as
equities.
Traders were waiting for a speech by Fed dove Lael Brainard
later in the day, hoping she could dispel concerns a rate increase
is imminent.
Stock futures were off their worst levels but still firmly
lower. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures slid 67 points, or
0.4%, to 17,900, while those for the S&P 500 index dropped 7.25
points, or 0.3%, to 2,108.50. Futures for the Nasdaq-100 index lost
20.75 points, or 0.4%, to 4,646.50.
Fed jitters: The sharp declines follow a brutal session on Wall
Street on Friday
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stock-futures-tilt-lower-with-oil-prices-fed-speakers-in-focus-2016-09-09),
when the Dow industrials lost almost 400 points and the S&P 500
index dropped 2.5% after hawkish Fed comments. Boston Fed President
Eric Rosengren said a "reasonable case can be made" for raising
interest rates, fueling expectations it will definitely happen this
year. Both the Dow and the S&P plunged below their 50-day
moving averages
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-rout-just-drove-sp-500-dow-below-a-key-level-2016-09-09)
during Friday's rout.
Read:Gundlach's talk of a surprise Fed tightening set the stage
for a stock, bond-market rout
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-gundlachs-fed-tightening-talk-set-stage-for-a-stock-bond-market-meltdown-2016-09-09)
"Should we continue to get a consistent hawkish message from
policy makers ahead of the [Fed's] blackout period, we could see
the implied probability of a hike in September ramp up considerably
which based on the moves since Friday, would be bad news for equity
markets," said Craig Erlam,
"The catalyst for this could once again come from Fed policy
makers, with Lael Brainard, Neel Kashkari and Dennis Lockhart all
scheduled to speak [today]," he added.
Investors are particularly waiting for Brainard's speech, hoping
she--as the Fed's resident dove--will ease market fears that a rate
increase is imminent.
"Further hawkish commentary and any indication that a rate hike
is likely could trigger another wave of repricing for September and
December, which in turn could see the dollar and Treasury yields on
the rise again and equities coming under pressure," Erlam said.
Brainard is due to speak at the Chicago Council on Global
Affairs at 1:15 p.m. Eastern Time.
Read:Clinton Treasury secretary contender could send key signal
about crucial Fed meeting
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/clinton-treasury-secretary-contender-is-key-vote-at-crucial-fed-meeting-2016-09-01)
Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart will give a speech on
monetary policy to the National Association for Business Economics
in Atlanta at 8 a.m. Eastern. Later, Minneapolis Fed President Neel
Kashkari's speaks at the St. Paul BOMA's Thought Leader Seminar at
1 p.m. Eastern.
After Monday, the Fed enters its "blackout" period ahead of its
Sept. 20-21 policy-setting meeting.
The probability of a rate tightening at that meeting rose to 27%
on Friday, from 18% on Thursday, following Rosengren's comments,
according to the CME's Fed Watch Tool.
The CBOE Market Volatility Index also spiked on Friday, surging
40% to above 16 around the time of the U.S. market close, marking
its biggest one-day move since the U.K.'s Brexit vote in June
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/wall-streets-fear-gauge-jumped-the-most-since-brexit-2016-09-09).
The index continued to rise on Monday, up 17% to 20.39
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/wall-street-fear-level-jumps-to-highest-since-brexit-vote-2016-09-12).
Read:Investors brace for volatility after Friday stock-market
rout
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/investors-brace-for-volatility-after-friday-stock-market-rout-2016-09-10)
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/investors-brace-for-volatility-after-friday-stock-market-rout-2016-09-10)
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/investors-brace-for-volatility-after-friday-stock-market-rout-2016-09-10)Bond
selloff: Treasury prices fell further on Monday, pushing yields
higher
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-investors-will-get-hit-hardest-as-global-interest-rates-rise-2016-09-09).
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose 1 basis point to
1.690%. The interest rate on the U.S. benchmark note on Friday
climbed 5.7 basis points to 1.671%, its highest level since June
23, the day of the Brexit vote.
Clinton health scare: Investors on Monday were also paying close
attention to Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton.
Video footage showed her stumbling into her van after she left
early from New York City's ceremony marking the 15th year since the
September 11th terrorist attacks.
Clinton's doctor said she was diagnosed with pneumonia on
Friday, but the incident has fueled concerns it will boost
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump's campaign, which is
seen as threatening financial markets
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-hillary-clintons-health-scare-threatens-the-markets-2016-09-11).
Oil blues: Crude oil prices stumbled 2.4%
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/oil-prices-stumble-after-rising-baker-hughes-rig-count-2016-09-12)
to $44.80 a barrel after a rise in the Baker Hughes rig count last
week added to concerns about an oversupply in the market. The slide
weighed on U.S. major oil companies, with shares of Chesapeake
Energy Corp.(CHK) off 2.5% ahead of the bell and Exxon Mobil
Corp.(XOM) down 1%.
The VelocityShares 3x Long Crude ETN(UWTI) lost 7% premarket as
well.
Movers and shakers: Shares of Tesla Motors Inc.(TSLA) fell 0.7%
in premarket trade. The electric-car maker on Sunday announced an
upgrade for its Autopilot feature
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-makes-big-tweaks-to-autopilot-to-improve-safety-2016-09-11)
that could significantly improve the safety if its semiautonomous
driving system.
Praxair Inc.(PX) lost 1.7% ahead of the bell after the
industrial-gas company and German peer Linde AG (LIN.XE) said they
have ended merger talks
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/praxair-linde-call-a-halt-to-merger-talks-2016-09-12).
Linde shares tanked 8%.
Perrigo Co. PLC(PRGO) climbed 3.6% after activist investor
Starboard Value LP disclosed a 4.6% stake in the drugmaker
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/perrigos-stock-surges-after-starboard-discloses-stake-2016-09-12).
Manchester United Ltd.(MANU) could also be active after the
soccer club said it lost GBP957,000 ($1.27 million) in its fiscal
fourth quarter.
Other markets: The dollar struggled for direction
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dollar-steadies-as-investors-await-speech-from-feds-brainard-2016-09-12)
after its rally on Friday, with the ICE Dollar Index edging up 0.1%
to 95.414.
Silver dropped 2.7%, while gold moved 0.7% lower.
Stocks in Asia caught up with Friday's rout in the U.S.,
dropping sharply across the board
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/asian-stocks-plunge-following-wall-streets-friday-rout-2016-09-11).
It was the same story in Europe
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/european-stocks-punched-lower-on-prospect-of-higher-us-borrowing-rates-2016-09-12),
where the Stoxx Europe 600 index gave up 1.8%.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 12, 2016 08:08 ET (12:08 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.