By Mark DeCambre and Victor Reklaitis, MarketWatch
Yellen sees the case for a rate increase strengthening
U.S. stocks pivoted firmly lower Friday after comments from Fed
Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer doubled down on comments from Federal
Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen that the case for a rate hike is
gathering steam.
Yellen didn't provide any specific timetable for a rate increase
of key interest rates during a speech at an economics retreat in
Jackson Hole, Wyo
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/feds-yellen-says-case-for-another-interest-rate-hike-has-strenghtened-2016-08-26).,
and Wall Street, anticipating a decidedly more hawkish posture from
the Fed boss, sent shares higher after a brief, initial knee-jerk
move lower.
"In light of the continued solid performance of the labor market
and our outlook for economic activity and inflation, I believe the
case for an increase in the federal-funds rate has strengthened in
recent months," Yellen said in a speech prepared for delivery to
the Jackson Hole summit.
Market participants said the Fed chief's statement offered no
new evidence that a rate hike is imminent, which initially
bolstered market sentiment, lifting stocks.
Fischer, however, in an interview with CNBC
(http://www.cnbc.com/2016/08/26/feds-fischer-economy-has-strengthened-job-report-will-weigh-in-on-hike-decision.html)following
Yellen's remarks, said the next jobs report will figure into the
decision to raise rates, suggesting a September rate hike was very
much in play.
Stocks have enjoyed a protracted period of ultraloose monetary
policy.
"Janet Yellen's remarks were consistent with what the Fed has
been saying all year--they'd like to raise rates, but are going to
be cautious in order to do so in a slow, data-dependent manner,"
said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Cornerstone
Financial Partners.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 63 points, or 0.4%, to
18,384, backing off an earlier 124-point gain. Shares of Verizon
Communications Inc.(VZ) and Nike Inc.(NKE) led blue-chip
decliners.
The S&P 500 index fell 5 points, or 0.2%, at 2,167, after
trading up as many as 16 points earlier. All 10 of the large-cap's
sectors swung firmly into the red, after all 10 had been positive
earlier in the session. Telecom and utilities, often seen as bond
proxies, led the charge lower.
The Nasdaq Composite Index shed 6 points, or 0.1%, to 5,206,
after being up about 41 points earlier in the session.
Quincy Krosby, market strategist at Prudential Financial said
that Yellen acknowledged "that growth has strengthened but "was
careful not to commit to a specific timeline." She said that she
wouldn't rule out a rate hike in 2016, however.
Wall Street sees the chance of rate increase at the Fed's Sept.
20-21 meeting is 24%, up from 21% on Thursday, according to the CME
Group's FedWatch too
(http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html)l.
The market sees the likelihood of a rate increase in December at
58% from 52% the day prior.
"I see nothing in this speech that would motivate me to believe
the Fed moves in September," said Jamie Cox, managing partner of
Harris Financial Group. "Chair Yellen maintained her position of
gradual increases of the Fed-funds rate," he said.
Ahead of the talk, a second estimate of second-quarter gross
domestic product did little to boost stocks, underscoring that the
U.S. economy is still muddling along, growing at a lackluster 1.1%
pace--slower than preliminary reading of 1.2%
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/second-quarter-gdp-rises-just-12-well-below-forecast-2016-07-29)
as corporate profits fell.
Meanwhile, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester on Friday on
CNBC echoed the recent hawkish sentiments of other Fed members,
saying "it makes sense" to start moving interest rates higher.
Read more:Yellen to say 'ready' for another rate increase in
Jackson Hole
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/yellen-to-say-ready-for-another-rate-hike-in-jackson-hole-2016-08-19)
And see:Fed might raise interest rates despite market objections
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/fed-going-out-to-jackson-hole-to-get-divorce-from-markets-2016-08-23)
On Thursday, the S&P 500 index closed 0.1% lower, while the
Dow shed 0.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index was down 5.49 points,
or 0.1%, to 5,212.20, as investors seemed reluctant to make big
bets
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/wall-street-set-for-losses-as-yellen-speech-draws-closer-2016-08-25)
on the eve of the Fed chairwoman's speech. The S&P is down 0.5%
for the week, as of Thursday's close, and the Dow is 0.6% lower.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq is on track to snap an eight week win streak,
down 0.5% on the week.
Individual movers: Shares in Herbalife Ltd.(HLF) tumbled nearly
6% following news that billionaire investor Carl Icahn has recently
discussed selling his stake
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/carl-icahn-considered-selling-herbalife-stake-to-arch-nemesis-bill-ackman-2016-08-26)
in the nutritional-products company to a group including
Herbalife's arch-nemesis Bill Ackman.
Anheuser-Busch InBev NV(ABI.BT)(ABI.BT) warned Friday its beer
megamerger with SABMiller PLC(SAB.JO) could lead to thousands of
job losses
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/ab-inbev-warns-3-to-be-laid-off-in-merger-2016-08-26)
in the coming years.
Software company
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/splunk-beats-expectations-and-raises-forecast-but-stock-still-slumps-2016-08-25)Splunk
Inc.(SPLK), beauty products seller
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/ulta-shares-weaken-as-outlook-offsets-earnings-beat-2016-08-25)Ulta
Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc.(ULTA) and videogame retailer
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/gamestop-shares-slide-after-revenue-falls-short-of-street-view-2016-08-25)GameStop
Corp.(GME) all look on track for down days after each company's
stock suffered an earnings-driven drop late Thursday.
Other markets: Oil futures pivoted higher in early Friday trade,
European stocks also tilted up after oil turned positive after
trading lower for much of the morning, while Asia closed mixed.
Other economic reports: Meanwhile, the trade gap narrowed
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-trade-gap-narrows-in-july-advance-report-shows-2016-08-26)to
a seasonally adjusted $59.3 billion in July from $64.5 billion in
June, the Commerce Department said Friday.
And a The University of Michigan's final August reading of
consumer sentiment
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/consumer-sentiment-dips-as-americans-divide-on-election-impact-on-economy-2016-08-26)slipped
to 89.8 from 90.0 in July. The index is 2.3% lower than a year ago.
Economists surveyed by MarketWatch had forecast a reading of
91.0.
Check out:
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
August 26, 2016 12:25 ET (16:25 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.