German Growth Slows on Lower Investment -- Update
August 24 2016 - 6:05AM
Dow Jones News
By Nina Adam
FRANKFURT--Germany's economy slowed in the second quarter after
a strong start to the year, owing to a drop in investment, as other
parts of the eurozone also shifted down a gear.
Germany's gross domestic product grew at a quarterly rate of
0.4%, or an annualized rate of 1.7%, the Federal Statistical
Office, Destatis, said Wednesday. It marks a significant slowdown
from the first quarter, when the economy expanded at a quarterly
clip of 0.7%, as the mild winter weather propelled construction.
The outcome is in line with an earlier GDP flash estimate.
But Germany's economy slightly outpaced the eurozone, which saw
its quarterly growth rate ease to 0.3% from 0.6% in the first three
months of the year, according to official data published earlier in
August.
Most private-sector analysts expect that Germany will stay on a
steady but moderate growth path in the second half of the year, as
the U.K.'s pending exit from the European Union adds to an
uncertain outlook for exports and investment.
"The economy's Achilles' heel remains the lack of
investment--from both businesses and the government," said Carsten
Brzeski, an economist at ING in Frankfurt. "A greater initiative is
needed from the government," he said, adding that Germany should
use its financial wiggle room to invest more in its roads, public
transport and new infrastructure, including high-speed
internet.
Illustrating this trend, foreign trade and consumption propped
up Germany's economy in the second quarter, while weak investment
weighed on growth.
Destatis said construction investment dropped by 1.6% from the
preceding quarter, while investment in machinery and equipment
slumped by 2.4%, erasing a 1.2% gain in the first quarter. German
exports rose by 1.2%, but a 0.1% quarterly drop in imports signaled
slack domestic investment.
Destatis also reported a 0.6% rise in public consumption in the
second quarter, as the federal and local government faced rising
costs related to last year's record influx of migrants. A buoyant
labor market and low energy prices, meanwhile, underpinned
household consumption, which grew 0.2% from the preceding
quarter.
Compared with the second quarter of 2015, Germany's GDP was up
1.8%, taking account of calendar effects. The annual rate also
matched a flash estimate from Aug. 12.
Solid growth and a strong labor market also helped fuel
government coffers. Destatis, in a separate news release, said
Wednesday that Germany in the first half of 2016 registered a 1.2%
of GDP surplus in its national budget, which comprises the budgets
of the federal government, state governments, local governments and
social security funds. But it cautioned against drawing conclusions
for the full year, as the budget surplus tends to be lower in the
second half of the year. Chancellor Angela Merkel's government
expects a balanced national budget for this year.
The federal government alone saw a budget surplus of EUR9.7
billion ($11 billion) in the first half of the year. But the
finance ministry said Wednesday that finances will probably be less
favorable in the second half because of planned extra spending for
the support of Syrian refugees and costs related to accommodating
and integrating the well over one million migrants who have arrived
in Germany since early last year.
Andrea Thomas in Berlin contributed to this article.
Write to Nina Adam at nina.adam@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
August 24, 2016 05:50 ET (09:50 GMT)
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