By Barbara Kollmeyer, MarketWatch
But strategist says watch for 'Bearmageddon'
U.S. stock futures pointed to gains on Monday, taking some
inspiration from a global market rally as investors continued to
digest weak jobs data out of the U.S.
Meanwhile, a Federal Reserve official said an interest-rate
increase could still go ahead this year, as the labor-market
weakness spurred speculation the U.S. central bank won't hike until
2016.
Extending earlier gains, futures for the Dow industrials rose 93
points, or 0.6%, to 16,470 on Monday, while those for the S&P
500 index added 10.4 points, or 0.5%, to 1,953.50. Futures for the
Nasdaq-100 index rose 29 points, or 0.7%, to 4,290.
The gains followed the sharpest reversal in four years on Friday
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stock-futures-rise-ahead-of-jobs-data-that-could-usher-in-a-rate-increase-2015-10-02)
as investors brushed off jobs data that came in surprisingly weak.
The S&P 500 index closed up 1.4% to 1,951.36 on Friday, for a
gain of 1% for the week, while the Dow industrials surged 200.36
points, or 1.2%, to 16,472.37. The DJIA traded in a 459-point range
on Friday, the biggest swing since Oct. 4, 2011.
Asian markets
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/china-stimulus-hopes-push-hong-kong-shares-higher-2015-10-05)
picked up the baton from Wall Street. On Monday, the Nikkei 225
index gained 1.6%, while the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index surged 1.8%.
In Europe, the Stoxx Europe 600 jumped more than 2%.
Some risk appetite returned after Friday's 142,000 September
payrolls number
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-economy-creates-just-142000-new-jobs-in-september-2015-10-02)
fueled the view that an interest-rate hike from the Federal Reserve
is off the table for this year. A downgrade from the World Bank for
China helped fueled some stimulus hopes for that country
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/china-stimulus-hopes-push-hong-kong-shares-higher-2015-10-05).
Investors were also eyeing a sweeping Trans-Pacific Partnership
trade agreement, said to be nearing completion. The trade deal
between the U.S. and 11 countries around the Pacific would lower
barriers to goods and services
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/trans-pacific-partnership-trade-deal-nears-agreement-2015-10-05).
'Bearamageddon' fears: Still, some strategists doubt U.S. stocks
can keep making gains. Michael O'Rourke, chief market strategist at
JonesTrading, said in a note that momentum and short covering were
likely the only reasons the market rallied on Friday.
"The problem is that absent a change in the fundamental drivers
behind the weekend, momentum and short covering only takes the
market so far," he wrote. And when the S&P 500 is rallying
alongside the dollar index, investors should "question the validity
of the move."
Jones said any further deterioration of economic data should put
investors on "Bearmageddon watch -- looking for indications the
economy is rolling over while Fed policy is trapped at the zero
bound."
Rosengren says a hike still in play: In an interview with
MarketWatch
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/embargoed-until-1201-am-monday-2015-10-05)
published on Monday, Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren said the
September employment report was "weak," but by itself doesn't
preclude a rate increase. The central bank will need to see if it
was a one-off, or more of a "broader pattern," he said.
"If this is an anomalous report, then, if the data came in
sufficiently, I would be comfortable possibly raising rates by the
end of the year," said Rosengren.
Read: Poor jobs report puts dark cloud over U.S. economy
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/poor-jobs-report-puts-dark-cloud-over-us-economy-2015-10-04)
The only data of note for Monday is the Institute for Supply
Management's nonmanufacturing index for September, which will be
released at 10 a.m. Eastern Time.
Stocks to watch: Shares of American Apparel Inc.(APP) were down
24% in thin premarket trading after the company filed for
bankruptcy protection on Monday
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/american-apparel-could-file-for-bankruptcy-as-soon-as-monday-2015-10-05).
The struggling clothing retailer plans to restructure debt, but
wouldn't say whether stores would close.
Activist shareholder Nelson Peltz's Trian Fund Management LP
said it has accumulated a $2.5 billion stake
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/activist-firm-trian-takes-25-billion-stake-in-general-electric-2015-10-05)
in General Electric Co.(GE), making it one of the company's top
shareholders, with around a 1% stake. GE shares were up 2.5% in
premarket trading.
Shares of mining and commodities giant Glencore(GLEN.LN)
(GLEN.LN) surged as much as 71% in Asia, then added another 10% in
Europe amid asset-sale speculation
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/glencore-jumps-ftse-100-gains-for-fourth-day-2015-10-05).
Also read: Glencore oil deals could bite banks
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/glencore-oil-deals-could-bite-banks-2015-10-05)
Alcoa Inc.(AA) will unofficially kick off third-quarter earnings
season on Thursday
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/pepsi-alcoa-shift-focus-to-results-as-corporate-earnings-season-begins-2015-10-04).
Ahead of that, PepsiCo. Inc(PEP) will report on Tuesday.
Other markets: The dollar slipped back, which allowed oil prices
to rise 57 cents to $46.11. Gold fell. Chinese markets were closed
for a holiday.
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 05, 2015 07:02 ET (11:02 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2015 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.