By Sue Chang and Anora Mahmudova, MarketWatch
Analyst sees little relief for market other than technical
support
The Dow Jones Industrial Average kicked off August with a
triple-digit tumble, as investors fled risky assets such as global
equities Tuesday following a fresh set of weak Chinese economic
data.
China's official manufacturing purchasing managers index fell to
a three-year low
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/china-factory-activity-slips-to-3-year-low-2015-09-01),
triggering a wide selloff in stocks across Asia
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/chinese-factory-data-pull-asian-shares-lower-2015-09-01)
and Europe (http://www.marketwatch.com/storyno-meta-for-guid) that
then spread to the U.S.
The S&P 500 sank 48 points, or 2.5%, to 1,923, with all of
its 10 main sectors trading in the red. The Dow Jones Industrial
Average lost 401 points, or 2.4%, to 16,126. All 30 of its
components were trading lower.
The Nasdaq Composite slumped 105 points, or 2.2% at 4,670,
falling into negative territory for the year.
"The market is being driven by emotion," said Robert Pavlik,
chief market strategist at Boston Private Wealth LLC, who sees very
little relief ahead for the market other than from a technical
perspective.
"Support [for the S&P 500] is expected to emerge at 1,927.
The ability to hold that level is the key," said Pavlik.
But if strong buying fails to materialize at 1,927, the S&P
500 could fall to 1,877 in the near term, he said. Pavlik also
characterized the recent selloff as a self-fulfilling prophecy.
"People had been expecting a correction for a while and when
everything hit the fan with news out of China, it's like their
biggest fear had come true," he said.
Read:'Death cross' patterns spread to all corners of the stock
market
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/death-cross-patterns-spread-like-a-bearish-virus-2015-08-28)
The CBOE Volatility Index jumped to 31.14, where it has hovered
at for the past eight trading sessions.
When the Vix is above 20, as it is now, uncertainty is a
prevailing theme among frightful stock investors and wild swings in
the index can be expected, said Randy Frederick, managing director
of trading & derivatives at Schwab Center for Financial
Research.
"While today's losses are sharp, they are not as bad as last
Monday's when the Dow plunged 1,000 points. So, we are not seeing
panic selling, it's a lot calmer, relatively speaking," he
said.
Big swings in oil prices added to already volatile markets. Oil
futures dropped sharply after a three-day rally, sending energy
stocks sharply down.
Read:Drivers to pay lowest Labor Day gas prices in 11 years
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/drivers-to-pay-lowest-labor-day-weekend-gas-prices-in-11-years-aaa-2015-09-01)
"The summer weakness [in China] could be linked to the recent
Tianjin port explosion and large-scale factory closures in Beijing
ahead of the WWII victory day parade on 3 September," analysts at
Barclays said in a note.
"Even so, we believe the multiyear-low PMI confirms that the
economy is still not on a solid footing, and we look for a flat
growth profile during the rest of 2015, with continued downside
risks," they added.
On Monday, Goldman Sachs forecast China's economic data will
remain pressured
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/goldman-slashes-chinas-economic-growth-targets-2015-08-31)
in August, as Beijing planned to curtail construction and
production from Aug. 20 through this Friday to improve air
quality.
U.S. data: The final Markit manufacturing reading for August
fell to 53.0 from 53.8 in July
The Institute for Supply Management said its manufacturing index
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-manufacturing-growth-weakest-since-mid-2013-ism-says-2015-09-01)dropped
to 51.1% last month from 52.7% in July, falling short of the 52.2%
forecast of economists surveyed by MarketWatch.
Meanwhile, outlays for U.S. construction projects
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-construction-spending-jumps-07-in-july-to-highest-level-in-seven-years-2015-09-01)rose
0.7% in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.08
trillion, the highest level since May 2008, the Commerce Department
reported Tuesday.
Movers and shakers: Dollar Tree Inc.(DLTR) shares tumbled more
than 7% after the discount chain's second-quarter earnings missed
analysts' estimates.
Oil-related companies were among biggest decliners as crude oil
fell almost 7%
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/oil-prices-pull-back-after-breathless-rally-2015-09-01-3103369).
Shares of Chevron Corp.(CVX) and Exxon Mobil Corp.(XOM) were down
sharply while energy was the worst performing sector in the S&P
500.
Read:Brutal rout for Dow, S&P 500 creates winners, losers
among hedge funds
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/brutal-rout-for-dow-sp-500-creates-winners-and-losers-2015-09-01)
Other markets: U.S. Treasurys rallied, sending the yield on the
10-year note down 4 basis points to 2.18%, while gold inched up
0.6% to $1,139.40 an ounce as investors flocked to havens.
The greenback traded mixed against other major currencies
(http://www.marketwatch.com/storyno-meta-for-guid), with the ICE
dollar index off 0.4% at 95.40.
Sara Sjolin contributed to this article.
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 01, 2015 14:33 ET (18:33 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2015 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.