By William Boston and Nico Schmidt 

RÜSSELSHEIM, Germany-- General Motors Co.'s European unit, Adam Opel AG, could be on the cusp of breaking even before its 2016 target date, welcome news for GM Chief Executive Mary Barra amid the fallout from a massive recall that is expected to hit GM profits.

For years, Europe was GM's biggest headache. It is main European business, the Rüsselsheim, Germany-based Opel unit, suffered declining sales, staggering losses and a depleted brand. Then, GM brought in a team of outsiders, led by former Volkswagen AG executive Karl-Thomas Neumann and decided to shut down a plant in Germany, invest more than $6 billion in Europe and launch no fewer than 23 new models by 2016.

The changes are paying off. Last year, Opel's sales stopped falling, and in the first two months of 2014 sales in the European Union of the Opel and its British Vauxhall brand rose 3%.

In an interview with The Wall Street Journal, Mr. Neumann is still sticking to his official target to return Opel to the break-even point in 2016, but analysts suggest Opel could reach profitability as early as next year.

"If everything goes well, theoretically that can't be ruled out," Mr. Neumann says.

His cautious outlook is a sign of the cultural change at Opel. In the past, GM's European executives often set ambitious targets, but failed to deliver, rushing to move the goal posts after it was too late to intervene and fix the business. In his first year, Mr. Neumann delivered above-budget results.

"That is something new at Opel," he says.

He is also wary about promising too much too soon because he knows there are factors beyond his control that could slow Opel's progress. The recovery of car sales in Europe is gathering traction, but it is still unclear how sustainable the European recovery is. Sanctions against Russia or a shooting war in Ukraine could hamper GM's business in Russia. Opel manufactures about 90,000 vehicles a year in St. Petersburg, accounting for as much as 10% of its EU sales last year. Over the past few months, the plant has canceled shifts and worked shorter hours as car sales in Russia fell.

"We're careful now with new investment and are trying to understand and monitor the situation as it develops," he said. "Of course, the (development of the) Russian economy is a cause of concern."

In the long-term, Mr. Neumann sees Russia and Turkey as European growth markets for Opel. That is why he pulled the plug on China last month. Opel sells fewer than 5,000 cars in China through a costly network of 22 dealerships. Instead of investing hundreds of millions of dollars to build an Opel franchise in China, Mr. Neumann decided to use the company's resources to focus on Europe.

The decision has more than a small touch of irony. Before joining Opel, Mr. Neumann was CEO of Volkswagen AG's business in China.

"Now Opel has a great strategy for China is what a lot of people thought, " he says, chuckling. "As GM, we are still bullish about China. But for Opel it is just a fact that our resources are better used somewhere else."

The 150-year-old car maker was acquired by GM in 1929 and for decades was a leading innovator. In the 1990s, Opel lost its mojo and GM's European business began bleeding cash, prompting a series of unsuccessful restructurings and a revolving door for top management in Europe.

In 2012, Stephen Girsky, then GM's vice chairman and point man on Opel, came up with a road map to revive GM's European business by 2022, with the break-even mark set for 2016. The plan involved massive investment in Europe and a decision to rebuild Opel and transform it into GM's exclusive mass-market brand in Western Europe.

Mr. Girsky's boldest move, however, was the decision to bring in a group of outsiders with no ties to GM to lead the campaign. In addition, to Mr. Neumann, who arrived in March of 2013, the company hired Peter Küspert, a 19-year veteran of Daimler AG, to oversee sales, and Michael Lohscheller, formerly the chief finance officer of VW's U.S. business.

A series of new models, such as the Adam, a sporty compact that is especially popular with young women, and the Mokka, a small sports-utility vehicle, as well as pepped up versions of Opel's flagship Insignia, Astra and Corsa models are attracting customers back to the Opel brand.

"The brand was a big problem," says Mr. Neumann. "The brand should help, but in our case it was like an insurmountable wall."

Mr. Neumann hired an outsider to rebuild the Opel brand. Tina Müller was head of marketing at Henkel KGaA, a personal care products maker that owns Dial soap, with no experience in the car industry. The appointment was controversial at Opel.

"Everyone said a car isn't shampoo," said Mr. Neumann, recalling the discussions with colleagues. "But a car is also a consumer product. We spoke to her and it was immediately clear to me that she's the one I want."

Ms. Müller hired the German ad agency Scholz & Friends, who came up with a creative campaign through posters, TV advertisements and YouTube videos to encourage Germans to reconsider their prejudices. The ultimate aim is to get consumers to change their attitudes about the Opel brand. She has hired Claudia Schiffer, the star model, as Opel's brand ambassador in Europe, saying she embodies what it means to be German. A key part of the campaign is to shed Opel's image as a failed American company that shut down plants and fired German workers.

Comparing her previous job at Henkel with her task at Opel, which she describes as the biggest marketing challenge in Europe today, she says marketing is about the brand, not the product.

"We had similar problems," she says. "(The brand) was a little dusty, it became a little boring. It is a similar task now with the Opel brand."

Opel isn't out of the woods yet. The company is still making losses and sales have only just started to grow slightly. But back in Detroit, executives are closely following what is going on in Rüsselsheim. After taking the helm at GM, Ms. Barra's first trip abroad was to visit the Opel plant in January and pledged further investment.

"At the moment we are seen as a benchmark because of the holistic way with which we have approached the turnaround," said Mr. Neumann. "Last year, for the first time in years, we not only met our targets, we surpassed them."

Write to William Boston at william.boston@wsj.com and Nico Schmidt at nico.schmidt@wsj.com

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