Sanofi Deal Brings Risk, Opportunity To Genzyme Partners

Date : 02/16/2011 @ 3:01PM
Source : Dow Jones News
Stock : Biomarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (BMRN)
Quote : 91.7401  2.6201 (2.94%) @ 2:58PM

Sanofi Deal Brings Risk, Opportunity To Genzyme Partners

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Following Genzyme Corp's (GENZ) planned takeover by Sanofi-Aventis SA (SNY, SAN.FR), the biotech company leaves several smaller partners in danger of losing a major collaborator, and brings an opportunity for long-time partner BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (BMRN).

Both Osiris Therapeutics Inc. (OSIR) and Isis Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ISIS) are in the process of developing new products with Genzyme, which provides funding and support for the development of the drugs. BioMarin already sells Aldurazyme with Genzyme, but the change in control will give it the option of acquiring full ownership of the drug, something that would likely be profitable.

"We will certainly be looking at those," Sanofi Chief Executive Christopher Viehbacher said Wednesday, noting that it is "early days" to be commenting on the partnerships.

Shares of BioMarin rose 51 cents, or 1.9%, to $27.45, while Isis rose 11 cents to $8.80, and Osiris is up 10 cents to $7.06.

In terms of the partnerships, Viehbacher said he isn't going to "second-guess everything" at Genzyme but stressed that $20 billion is "an awful lot of money and you only spend that if you see huge value."

"You really want to make the most out of that, so that is what we are going to do and that includes the partnerships," he said.

The most interesting impact of the Genzyme deal involves BioMarin's opportunity for Aldurazyme, a rare-disease treatment that had $167 million in global sales last year.

Under their agreement, BioMarin can terminate the partnership and name a price it is willing to pay for the full rights to Aldurazyme. The decision is complex, because Sanofi--as Genzyme's new owner--would then decide whether to accept the offer or pay the same price for BioMarin's stake.

Acquiring all of Aldurazyme could be a good move for BioMarin because it manufactures the drug but receives only 40% to 50% of sales, meaning that the increased revenue would almost directly boost its net income.

However, proposing to buy the full rights opens BioMarin to losing the treatment entirely. The agreement allows for the termination and a blind offer, but the companies could negotiate a deal to remove uncertainty and maximize the value for both, something that BioMarin would prefer.

"If it comes down to it, obviously we are very interested in the asset," BioMarin spokesman Bob Purcell said. "It is early to speculate, but I think we will want to enter into discussions with Sanofi to find something that works for both companies."

"We would rather have a discussion than a shootout on this kind of thing," he said, but stressed that "all options are on the table."

Sanofi wouldn't receive as much of a benefit from acquiring Aldurazyme because it already collects more than half of the drug's sales and would have to assume manufacturing of the drug. Such a move comes as Sanofi is aiming to make sure Genzyme can keep turning around its own complicated manufacturing problems.

Robert Baird analyst Christopher Raymond said BioMarin's financial structure is sensitive enough that it could pay a lot--for example, $700 million--and still boost profits.

The fact that BioMarin could grab all the rights to Aldurazyme isn't a secret; the stock is up 41% since Sanofi's interest in Genzyme became public last July. Raymond said investors expect BioMarin to acquire Aldurazyme and the stock could drop if a deal doesn't happen.

Wells Fargo analyst Brian Abrahams said BioMarin may try to gain only the marketing rights--allowing it to steer strategy--along with a bigger cut of sales. He said such a move would be "incrementally positive" but wouldn't provide the same earnings benefit as full ownership.

In terms of other Genzyme partners, Osiris Therapeutics is developing two stem-cell related products with Genzyme, which can terminate the collaborations at any time, according to regulatory filings.

JMP Securities analyst Charles Duncan said the Osiris platform could be attractive to Sanofi, but the collaboration is in danger of being severed if Osiris doesn't make regulatory progress in the coming months. Such a move presents a risk for Osiris shareholders because it removes an important source of funding.

An Osiris spokesman declined to comment on the issue.

For Isis, Genzyme has highlighted mipomersen as a key product for its future, but its importance to Sanofi is unclear. The drug lowers cholesterol in patients with extremely high levels because of rare genetic disorders, but there are lingering concerns about the drug's effects on the liver. Isis recently said it may not file its first marketing application until the second half of 2011.

Needham & Co. analyst Mark Monane said a Genzyme takeover creates some risk because Isis isn't positioned to commercialize the drug, but that mipomersen's late-stage development makes it an attractive asset for others. Isis declined to comment.

-By Thomas Gryta, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2169;


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